VVV-Venlo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Seacon - De Koel (Venlo).

Eerste Divisie - Round 23
Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.42	1.25
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
5	7
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
79% (334/424)	80% (348/435)
Yellow cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.42	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.76	2.02
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked shots
5	0
Shots inside the box
15	7
Shots outside the box
2	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
44	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
9	13
Passes
79% (334/424)	80% (348/435)
Long passes
39% (15/38)	43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)	62% (63/101)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	0.55
Throw ins
24	16
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
32% (6/19)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
45	58
Clearances
17	32
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
2.02	1.76
Goals prevented
-0.98	0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
30', Kromah L. 🟨,
32', Twisk N. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Zwart J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
57', Kromah L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
57', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
61', de Blok L. 🟨,
62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
62', Boogaard K. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Toppenberg K. (A),
72', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
72', Heise P. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
72', Odriss M. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
77', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, van Zijl B. ⚽, Zandbergen D. (A),

Chances of winning

VVV-Venlo
46.5%

Draw
26.6%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

23.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	3.39 ↑ (3.14)	7.7% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): VVV-Venlo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Jong AZ is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Venlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Jong AZ: Natali A. (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?

VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against VVV-Venlo?

Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:

07.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 0:2

03.02.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 3:0

08.11.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:1

10.07.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1

22.04.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 2:1

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1 ✺

12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺

28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺

24.11.2025 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar

12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺

19.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:4 ✺

05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺

28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )