Result
2:2
15/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (198/266) | 85% (386/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (198/266) | 85% (386/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/49) | 56% (24/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (41/75) | 68% (93/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Karamanis A. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Mitoglou G. ⚽, Uronen J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Penrice J. 🟨,
- 52', Ljubicic R. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 53', Mantalos P. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
- 62', Jubitana D. ↓, Tsantilas P. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽,
- 69', 1 - 2, Jovic L. ⚽, Koita A. (A),
- 71', 2 - 2, Moutoussamy S. ⚽, Uronen J. (A),
- 78', Penrice J. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
- 78', Marin R. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 79', Baku M. ↓, Pnevmonidis S. ↑,
- 88', Koita A. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
- 90', Ukaki E. ↓, Tzovaras G. ↑,
- 90', Moutoussamy S. ↓, Tsakmakis D. ↑,
- 90+5', Pnevmonidis S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rota L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atromitos Athens
11.6% | Draw
21.4% | AEK Athens
66.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atromitos Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.06 ↑
(7) |
4.38 ↑
(3.7) |
1.41 ↓
(1.48) |
6.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atromitos will win (votes: 2 - 20%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Atromitos (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Atromitos (5.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atromitos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). AEK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- AEK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Atromitos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Atromitos: Mountes M.
(Yellow Cards)
Tsingaras T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in Atromitos: Uronen J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:34. (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against AEK Athens?
Atromitos Athens has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Atromitos Athens?
AEK Athens has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens were as follows:
07.12.2025
AEK Athens
-
Atromitos Athens
4:1
15.02.2025
AEK Athens
-
Atromitos Athens
2:1
03.11.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
AEK Athens
0:1
21.01.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
AEK Athens
0:5
28.09.2023
AEK Athens
-
Atromitos Athens
2:1
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:15 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 46:17 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos ✔ | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Levadiakos ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Volos | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa ✔ | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 22 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21:39 | -18 | 17 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
