AEK Athens vs Olympiacos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
27.4%
Draw
8.7%
Olympiacos
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 11.9% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 10.6% 56.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Olympiacos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AEK Athens - Olympiacos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.66)
    10.5
    (7.5)
    1.43
    (1.4)
    9.6%
    (12.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • AEK Athens leads series 1-0. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.
    • AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Olympiacos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Olympiacos is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 550:561. (average 27.5:28.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 235:228. (average 29.4:28.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Olympiacos were as follows:
    01.05.2026 Olympiacos - AEK Athens 32:33
    04.03.2026 Olympiacos - AEK Athens 32:26
    09.02.2026 Olympiacos - AEK Athens 33:29
    10.11.2025 AEK Athens - Olympiacos 28:27
    15.09.2025 Olympiacos - AEK Athens 24:23
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    01.05.2026 Olympiacos - AEK Athens 32:33
    27.04.2026 AEK Athens - PAOK 27:25
    23.04.2026 PAOK - AEK Athens 33:30
    20.04.2026 AEK Athens - PAOK 37:31
    11.03.2026 Vrilissia - AEK Athens 34:36
    Latest results of Olympiacos
    01.05.2026 Olympiacos - AEK Athens 32:33
    08.04.2026 Diomidis Argous - Olympiacos 28:45
    29.03.2026 Olympiacos - Ohrid 26:31
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Olympiacos SFP (1)Ionikos (4)2 : 0
    2AEK Athens (2)PAOK (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Olympiacos SFP (1)AEK Athens (2)0 : 1