Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/328) | 82% (361/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 3.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/328) | 82% (361/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (46/68) | 75% (100/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', Vida D. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Baba A. R. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 2, Konstantelias G. ⚽,
- 56', Kutesa D. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
- 56', Joao Mario ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 56', Koita A. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 56', Marin R. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 71', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
- 72', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 77', Grujic M. ↓, Kaloskamis D. ↑,
- 78', Konstantelias G. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 86', Moukoudi H. 🟥,
- 90+1', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Tsiftsis A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
40.3% | Draw
29.6% | PAOK
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
AEK Athens - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.3) |
3.19 ↑
(3.05) |
3.12 ↓
(3.33) |
5.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - PAOK?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). PAOK will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.
- AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- PAOK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Pereyra R.
(Muscle Injury)
Relvas F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in PAOK: Chalov F.
(Injury)
Pelkas D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in AEK: Moukoudi H.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against PAOK?
AEK Athens has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against AEK Athens?
PAOK has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - PAOK were as follows:
11.05.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:0
30.03.2025
AEK Athens
-
PAOK
2:3
02.02.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:2
09.01.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:1
18.12.2024
AEK Athens
-
PAOK
1:0
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
