Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/331) | 76% (241/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/331) | 76% (241/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (12/44) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/102) | 62% (54/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Giakoumakis G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
- 34', Tsiftsis A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Meite S. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
- 52', Chatsidis D. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 56', Varga B. 🟨,
- 64', Moukoudi H. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
- 64', Gacinovic M. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
- 79', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
- 79', Koita A. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
- 83', Relvas F. 🟨,
- 84', Kutesa D. 🟨,
- 84', Kedziora T. 🟨,
- 85', Strakosha T. 🟨,
- 86', Zafeiris C. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
- 90+2', Varga B. ↓, Zini ↑,
Chances of winning
PAOK
40.4% | Draw
31.4% | AEK Athens
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
PAOK - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.1) |
3 ↓
(3.15) |
3.33 ↓
(3.57) |
6.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for PAOK - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - PAOK (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- PAOK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in PAOK: Ivanusec L.
(Toe Injury)
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in PAOK: Despodov K.
(Injury)
Mythou A.
(Injury)
Pelkas D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against AEK Athens?
PAOK has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against PAOK?
AEK Athens has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - AEK Athens were as follows:
19.10.2025
AEK Athens
-
PAOK
0:2
11.05.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:0
30.03.2025
AEK Athens
-
PAOK
2:3
02.02.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:2
09.01.2025
PAOK
-
AEK Athens
1:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | PAOK | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
| 7 | Volos | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Aris | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
