AEK Athens vs Universitatea Craiova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
3:2
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 8
germanyGermanyRTL+, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.411.34
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
81% (338/419)78% (313/399)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
3.411.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.311.22
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1511
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
188
Passes
81% (338/419)78% (313/399)
Long passes
46% (26/57)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
70% (103/147)68% (59/87)
Crosses
43% (12/28)67% (6/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.94
Throw-ins
2513
Fouls
818
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5740
Clearances
1125
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.223.31
Goals prevented
-0.780.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Vida D. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Baiaram S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 2, Cicaldau A. ⚽, Al Hamlawi A. (A),
  • 64', Mantalos P. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
  • 64', Pereyra R. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Vida D. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
  • 66', Etim M. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
  • 72', Baiaram S. 🟨,
  • 77', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
  • 80', Baiaram S. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
  • 80', Cicaldau A. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
  • 83', Kutesa D. 🟨,
  • 83', Teles 🟨,
  • 90+1', Marin R. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
  • 90+2', Cretu A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Isenko P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Mogos V. ↑,
  • 90+6', Teles ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Kutesa D. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
  • 90+11', Bancu N. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Rota L. 🟨,
  • 90+15', 3 - 2, Jovic L. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
70.3%		Draw
19.2%		Universitatea Craiova
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 24.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 23.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.
  • Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitatea Craiova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitatea Craiova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    AEK Athens - Universitatea Craiova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.34 ↓
    (1.58)    		 4.93 ↑
    (3.82)    		 8.96 ↑
    (5.7)    		 6.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Universitatea Craiova?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 61.4% – 87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1.5 - AEK (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - AEK (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - AEK (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - AEK (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - AEK (1.33) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - AEK (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • AEK has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Uni Craiova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Gacinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Joao Mario (Inactive) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Kaloskamis D. (Inactive) Kolimatsis C. (Inactive) Mitoglou G. (Inactive) Odubajo M. (Inactive) Pierrot F. (Injury) Zini (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Uni Craiova: Baluta T. (Surgery) Falcusan D. (Inactive) Paradela L. (Inactive) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury) Romanchuk O. (Inactive) Screciu V. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AEK: Moukoudi H. (Injury) Penrice J. (Injury)
    • We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    14.12.2025 Panetolikos - AEK Athens 0:5 ✺
    11.12.2025 Samsunspor - AEK Athens 1:2 ✺
    07.12.2025 AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens 4:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 AEK Athens - OFI 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
    14.12.2025 Hermannstadt - Universitatea Craiova 0:2 ✺
    11.12.2025 Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague 1:2 ✺
    07.12.2025 Universitatea Craiova - CFR Cluj 1:1 ✺
    04.12.2025 Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova 0:4 ✺
    01.12.2025 Universitatea Cluj - Universitatea Craiova 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy