Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Panathinaikos
27.5%
Draw
29.5%
AEK Athens
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.4% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 29.9% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Panathinaikos - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.05)
    3.18
    (3.02)
    2.19
    (2.32)
    6.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.
    • Recent performances by Panathinaikos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - AEK Athens were as follows:
    18.01.2026 AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 4:0
    30.11.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 2:3
    04.05.2025 AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 1:2
    06.04.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 3:1
    19.01.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 1:0
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    19.04.2026 AEK Athens - PAOK 3:0
    22.03.2026 AEK Athens - AE Kifisia 3:0
    Greek Super League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    9Atromitos3110101136:34240
    10Panetolikos31871630:45-1531
    11Kifisia316131234:45-1131
    12Panserraikos31761822:62-4027
    13Asteras Tripolis315101628:45-1725
    14AEL Larissa314121527:49-2224

          Relegation ~ Super League 2