AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
61
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
61
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1310
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Amyn Y. , Mudrazija R. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Thomas B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Gaspar B. , Shikkis A. ,
  • 61', Rodrigues G. , Vrikkis A. ,
  • 61', Garcia A. , Rohden M. ,
  • 74', Brown M. , Spoljaric D. ,
  • 74', Marques P. , Duodu C. ,
  • 76', Miramon 🟨,
  • 80', Roberge V. , Izquierdo J. ,
  • 80', Ledes Gustavo , Kyriakou C. ,
  • 89', Ljubic I. 🟨,
  • 89', Saborit E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
47.4%
Draw
28.9%
Apollon Limassol
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 26.4% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 27.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Larnaca's form might have worsened.
  • Apollon Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.73)
    3.21
    (3.48)
    3.9
    (4.54)
    7.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Apollon Limassol (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Apollon Limassol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
    • AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 4.
    • AEK Larnaca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Apollon Limassol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Apollon Limassol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, AEK Larnaca is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Jimmy Suarez (Inactive) Naoum G. (Inactive) Rubio W. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Leeuwenburgh P. (Inactive) Rodrigues G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    12.05.2025 AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol 3:0
    06.04.2025 Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    15.12.2024 AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol 4:0
    25.08.2024 Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    08.02.2026 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    25.01.2026 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:2
    14.01.2026 Omonia - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    Latest results of Apollon Limassol
    Cypriot First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Omonia ✔ 24174356:173955
    2Apollon ✔ 24154533:201349
    3AEK Larnaca ✔ 24145544:222247
    4Pafos ✔ 24143742:241845
    5APOEL ✔ 24126643:241942
    6Aris ✔ 24117643:241940
    7AEL Limassol ✔ 241031129:34-533
    8Omonia Aradippou ✔ 24941121:28-731
    9Anorthosis ✔ 24610820:32-1228
    10Chloraka ✔ 24751223:41-1826
    11Krasava ✔ 24741322:29-725
    12Ol. Nicosia ✔ 24510920:31-1125
    13Achnas ✔ 24721524:40-1623
    14Paralimni ✔ 2401235:59-541

          Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
          Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )