Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
56.7%

Draw
22.8%

AEK Larnaca
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+3%)

Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	4.19 ↑ (4.1)	4.57 ↑ (4)	6.1% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 54% – 99.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 25%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.
In recent matches, Legia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
AEK Larnaca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Legia is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against AEK Larnaca?

Legia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Legia Warsaw?

AEK Larnaca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca were as follows:

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

10.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice 3:1 ✺

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia 0:0 ✺

31.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 0:2 ✺

Latest results of AEK Larnaca

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1 ✺

31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Partizan - AEK Larnaca 2:2 ✺

10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
4	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
24	Bye	Young Boys
32	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
33	Panathinaikos	Bye
35	Besiktas	Bye
36	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves	0 : 0, 6 : 0
40	Bye	Samsunspor
41	Aberdeen	Bye
45	FCSB	Bye
48	Bye	Drita
56	Bye	Genk
57	Fredrikstad	Bye
59	Midtjylland	Bye
60	Bye	Hibernian
61	RFS	Bye
64	Bye	KuPS
65	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
68	Bye	Noah
69	Lugano	Bye
70	Paks	CFR Cluj	0 : 3, 0 : 0
71	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva	2 : 1, 0 : 0
72	Bye	Braga
73	Zrinjski	Bye
76	Bye	Breidablik
77	Servette	Bye
79	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina	1 : 2, 4 : 0
80	Bye	Utrecht
81	Anderlecht	Bye
82	Trnava	Hacken	2 : 2, 0 : 1
84	Bye	Brann
85	Sabah Baku	Celje	3 : 3, 2 : 3
86	AEK Larnaca	Partizan	2 : 2, 1 : 0
87	Ostrava	Bye
88	Legia	Aktobe	1 : 0, 1 : 0
89	Rijeka	Bye
92	Bye	Shelbourne
93	PAOK	Bye
96	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Quarter-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
2	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
12	Bye	Young Boys
16	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
17	Panathinaikos	Bye
18	Besiktas	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 : 2, 2 : 4
20	Bye	Samsunspor
21	Aberdeen	Bye
23	FCSB	Bye
24	Bye	Drita
28	Bye	Genk
29	Fredrikstad	Bye
30	Midtjylland	Hibernian	2 : 1, 1 : 1
31	RFS	Bye
32	Bye	KuPS
33	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
34	Bye	Noah
35	Lugano	CFR Cluj	0 : 1, 0 : 0
36	Levski Sofia	Braga	0 : 1, 0 : 0
37	Zrinjski	Bye
38	Bye	Breidablik
39	Servette	Bye
40	Sheriff Tiraspol	Utrecht	1 : 4, 1 : 3
41	Anderlecht	Hacken	1 : 3, 1 : 0
42	Bye	Brann
43	Celje	AEK Larnaca	1 : 2, 1 : 1
44	Ostrava	Legia	1 : 2, 2 : 2
45	Rijeka	Bye
46	Bye	Shelbourne
47	PAOK	Bye
48	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Semi-finals

1	Hamrun	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 2
6	Bye	Young Boys
8	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
9	Panathinaikos	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 : 0
10	Bye	Samsunspor
11	Aberdeen	Bye
12	FCSB	Drita	3 : 2
14	Bye	Genk
15	Fredrikstad	Midtjylland	1 : 3
16	RFS	KuPS	1 : 2
17	Lincoln Red Imps	Noah	1 : 1
18	CFR Cluj	Braga	1 : 2
19	Zrinjski	Breidablik	1 : 1
20	Servette	Utrecht	1 : 3
21	Hacken	Brann	0 : 2
22	AEK Larnaca	Legia	4 : 1
23	Rijeka	Shelbourne	1 : 2
24	PAOK	Wolfsberger AC	0 : 0

Final

1	TBD #1	Bye
3	Bye	Young Boys
4	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
5	TBD #9	Samsunspor
6	Aberdeen	TBD #12
7	Bye	Genk
8	TBD #15	TBD #16
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	TBD #24