Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)
Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Poland	TVP 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	0.79
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
80% (334/417)	73% (214/292)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.58
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
19	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
80% (334/417)	73% (214/292)
Long passes
62% (39/63)	44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)	60% (52/87)
Crosses
29% (8/28)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.65	0.83
Throw-ins
27	23
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
80% (12/15)	36% (5/14)
Duels won
50	45
Clearances
14	24
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.58	0.69
Goals prevented
-0.42	-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Nsame J. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Rajovic M. ⚽, Bichakhchyan V. (A),
38', Vinagre R. 🟨,
45', Iordanescu E. 🟨,
45+4', Roberge V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
61', Rajovic M. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
63', Gnali J. 🟨,
68', Milicevic H. 🟨,
71', Angielski K. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
71', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
71', Morishita R. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
72', Gnali J. 🟨,
78', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
78', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
78', Chacon Y. 🟨,
79', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
79', Vinagre R. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
85', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
86', Ivanovic D. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
86', Chacon Y. ↓, Miramon ↑,
89', Idiakez I. 🟨,
90+7', Garcia A. ↓, Danny Henriques ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
61%

Draw
22.2%

AEK Larnaca
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.1%

23.5%

Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	4.38 ↑ (4.1)	5.81 ↑ (4)	3.7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 15 - 65.2%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - AEK Larnaca (1.86) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - AEK Larnaca (2.36) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - AEK Larnaca (2.28) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 92.45%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.
Legia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
AEK Larnaca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against AEK Larnaca?

Legia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Legia Warsaw?

AEK Larnaca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca were as follows:

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

10.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice 3:1 ✺

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia 0:0 ✺

31.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 0:2 ✺

Latest results of AEK Larnaca

07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1 ✺

31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Partizan - AEK Larnaca 2:2 ✺

10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lyon	6	5	0	1	13:3	10	15
2	Midtjylland	6	5	0	1	13:5	8	15
3	Aston Villa	6	5	0	1	10:4	6	15
4	Betis	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14
5	Freiburg	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
6	Ferencvaros	6	4	2	0	11:6	5	14
7	Braga	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
8	FC Porto	6	4	1	1	9:5	4	13
9	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	12:5	7	12
10	AS Roma	6	4	0	2	10:5	5	12
11	Nottingham	6	3	2	1	11:6	5	11
12	Fenerbahce	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
13	Bologna	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
14	Plzen	6	2	4	0	6:2	4	10
15	Panathinaikos	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
16	Genk	6	3	1	2	7:6	1	10
17	Crvena zvezda	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
18	PAOK	6	2	3	1	13:10	3	9
19	Celta Vigo	6	3	0	3	12:9	3	9
20	Lille	6	3	0	3	10:7	3	9
21	Young Boys	6	3	0	3	8:12	-4	9
22	Brann	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
23	Ludogorets	6	2	1	3	11:14	-3	7
24	Celtic	6	2	1	3	7:11	-4	7
25	Din. Zagreb	6	2	1	3	8:13	-5	7
26	Basel	6	2	0	4	8:9	-1	6
27	FCSB	6	2	0	4	7:11	-4	6
28	G.A. Eagles	6	2	0	4	5:11	-6	6
29	Sturm Graz	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
30	Feyenoord	6	1	0	5	7:13	-6	3
31	Salzburg	6	1	0	5	5:11	-6	3
32	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	3:9	-6	1
33	Rangers	6	0	1	5	3:11	-8	1
34	Malmo FF	6	0	1	5	3:12	-9	1
35	Maccabi Tel Aviv	6	0	1	5	2:18	-16	1
36	Nice	6	0	0	6	4:13	-9	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)