Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca
Result
2:1
14/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
polandPolandTVP 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.79
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (334/417)73% (214/292)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.58
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
80% (334/417)73% (214/292)
Long passes
62% (39/63)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)60% (52/87)
Crosses
29% (8/28)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.650.83
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
1215
Tackles
80% (12/15)36% (5/14)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.580.69
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Nsame J. , Wszolek P. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Rajovic M. , Bichakhchyan V. (A),
  • 38', Vinagre R. 🟨,
  • 45', Iordanescu E. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Roberge V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Ivanovic D. ,
  • 61', Rajovic M. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 63', Gnali J. 🟨,
  • 68', Milicevic H. 🟨,
  • 71', Angielski K. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 71', Bichakhchyan V. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 71', Morishita R. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 72', Gnali J. 🟨,
  • 78', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
  • 78', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 78', Chacon Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Jedrzejczyk A. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 79', Vinagre R. , Reca A. ,
  • 85', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
  • 86', Ivanovic D. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 86', Chacon Y. , Miramon ,
  • 89', Idiakez I. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Garcia A. , Danny Henriques ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
61%
Draw
22.2%
AEK Larnaca
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 22.5% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 22.1% 23.5%

Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.7)
4.38
(4.1)
5.81
(4)
3.7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 15 - 65.2%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • AH -1 - AEK Larnaca (1.86) (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - AEK Larnaca (2.36) (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DC - AEK Larnaca (2.28) (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.71%92.45%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.
    • Legia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    07.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw 4:1
    31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1
    24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    17.07.2025 Partizan - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland440011:3812
    2Freiburg43108:3510
    3Ferencvaros43108:4410
    4Celta Vigo43019:459
    5Braga43018:449
    6Aston Villa43016:249
    7Lyon43015:239
    8Plzen42206:248
    9Betis42206:248
    10PAOK42119:637
    11Brann42115:237
    12Din. Zagreb42117:617
    13Genk42115:417
    14FC Porto42114:407
    15Fenerbahce42114:407
    16Panathinaikos42027:616
    17Basel42026:516
    18AS Roma42025:416
    19Lille42026:606
    20Stuttgart42024:406
    21G.A. Eagles42024:5-16
    22Young Boys42026:10-46
    23Nottingham41216:515
    24Bologna41213:305
    25Sturm Graz41123:5-24
    26Crvena zvezda41123:5-24
    27Celtic41124:7-34
    28Salzburg41034:6-23
    29Feyenoord41033:6-33
    30Ludogorets41035:9-43
    31FCSB41033:7-43
    32Utrecht40131:5-41
    33Malmo FF40132:7-51
    34Maccabi Tel Aviv40131:8-71
    35Nice40044:9-50
    36Rangers40041:8-70

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