Result
2:1
14/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Poland | TVP 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/417) | 73% (214/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/417) | 73% (214/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (39/63) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/125) | 60% (52/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Nsame J. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Rajovic M. ⚽, Bichakhchyan V. (A),
- 38', Vinagre R. 🟨,
- 45', Iordanescu E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Roberge V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
- 61', Rajovic M. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 63', Gnali J. 🟨,
- 68', Milicevic H. 🟨,
- 71', Angielski K. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 71', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 71', Morishita R. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 72', Gnali J. 🟨,
- 78', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
- 78', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 78', Chacon Y. 🟨,
- 79', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 79', Vinagre R. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 85', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
- 86', Ivanovic D. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
- 86', Chacon Y. ↓, Miramon ↑,
- 89', Idiakez I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Garcia A. ↓, Danny Henriques ↑,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
61% | Draw
22.2% | AEK Larnaca
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Larnaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.7) |
4.38 ↑
(4.1) |
5.81 ↑
(4) |
3.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 15 - 65.2%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
- AH -1 - AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -0.5 - AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DC - AEK Larnaca (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 92.45%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.
- Legia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- AEK Larnaca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against AEK Larnaca?
Legia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Legia Warsaw?
AEK Larnaca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
07.08.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Legia Warsaw
4:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Braga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Plzen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Betis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | PAOK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | Basel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | Ludogorets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 27 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
