Partizan vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2 penalties
17/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
123
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
123
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1414
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Milosevic J. 🟨,
  • 37', Roberge V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Rohden M. , Miramon ,
  • 61', Milosevic J. , Kostic A. ,
  • 62', Trifunovic N. , Kalulu A. ,
  • 62', Vukotic M. , Natcho B. ,
  • 63', Chacon Y. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Ugresic O. , Seck D. (A),
  • 75', Seck D. , Kostic B. ,
  • 77', Garcia A. , Gnali J. ,
  • 78', Rubio W. , Ivanovic D. ,
  • 83', Milovanovic M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ugresic O. , Karabelyov Y. ,
  • 90+5', Angielski K. (Pen),
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 96', Angielski K. , Loukaidis C. ,
  • 103', Ekpolo G. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 104', 1 - 1, Pons P. , Gnali J. (A),
  • 106', Jurcevic M. , Jovanovic D. ,
  • 118', 2 - 1, Jovanovic D. ,
  • 120', Kostic A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Natcho B. (Pen),
  • 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
  • 2, Milovanovic M. (Pen),
  • 2, Ledes Gustavo (Pen),
  • 3, Roganovic M. (Pen),
  • 3, Jimmy Suarez (Pen),
  • 4, Kalulu A. (Pen),
  • 4, Chacon Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Karabelyov Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Ivanovic D. (Pen),
  • 6, Kostic A. (Pen),
  • 6, Pons P. (Pen),
  • 7, Jovanovic D. (Pen),
  • 7, Miramon (Pen),
  • 8, Kostic B. (Pen),
  • 8, Gnali J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Partizan
27.2%
Draw
29.6%
AEK Larnaca
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 30.6% 34.4%

Partizan - AEK Larnaca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.4
(2.72)
3.16
(3.15)
2.21
(2.72)
6.4%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Partizan - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 4 - 19%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Partizan (votes: 2 - 16.7%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Partizan (5.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Partizan (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Partizan (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Partizan (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Partizan (votes: 6 - 35.3%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Partizan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Partizan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Partizan has had a series of away games.
    • AEK Larnaca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Partizan - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    Latest results of Partizan
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    04.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Partizan 3:1
    01.07.2025 CSKA Moscow - Partizan 3:1
    25.05.2025 Partizan - Vojvodina 3:2
    17.05.2025 Mladost Lučani - Partizan 0:4
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    02.07.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    25.06.2025 Westerlo - AEK Larnaca 1:3
    24.05.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 1:0
    18.05.2025 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 2:0
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