Result
2:2 penalties
17/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, RTS 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Milosevic J. 🟨,
- 37', Roberge V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Rohden M. ↓, Miramon ↑,
- 61', Milosevic J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
- 62', Trifunovic N. ↓, Kalulu A. ↑,
- 62', Vukotic M. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
- 63', Chacon Y. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 0, Ugresic O. ⚽, Seck D. (A),
- 75', Seck D. ↓, Kostic B. ↑,
- 77', Garcia A. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
- 78', Rubio W. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
- 83', Milovanovic M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ugresic O. ↓, Karabelyov Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Angielski K. (Pen),
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 96', Angielski K. ↓, Loukaidis C. ↑,
- 103', Ekpolo G. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
- 104', 1 - 1, Pons P. ⚽, Gnali J. (A),
- 106', Jurcevic M. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
- 118', 2 - 1, Jovanovic D. ⚽,
- 120', Kostic A. 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, Natcho B. (Pen),
- 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
- 2, Milovanovic M. (Pen),
- 2, Ledes Gustavo (Pen),
- 3, Roganovic M. (Pen),
- 3, Jimmy Suarez (Pen),
- 4, Kalulu A. (Pen),
- 4, Chacon Y. (Pen),
- 5, Karabelyov Y. (Pen),
- 5, Ivanovic D. (Pen),
- 6, Kostic A. (Pen),
- 6, Pons P. (Pen),
- 7, Jovanovic D. (Pen),
- 7, Miramon (Pen),
- 8, Kostic B. (Pen),
- 8, Gnali J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Partizan
27.2% | Draw
29.6% | AEK Larnaca
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizan's form might have worsened.AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Larnaca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Partizan - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↑
(2.72) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
2.21 ↓
(2.72) |
6.4%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Partizan - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 4 - 19%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- In recent matches, Partizan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Partizan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Partizan has had a series of away games.
- AEK Larnaca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against AEK Larnaca?
Partizan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Partizan?
AEK Larnaca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Partizan - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
10.07.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Partizan
1:0
Latest results of Partizan
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
Semi-finals
