Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/484) | 73% (217/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 14 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 33 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/484) | 73% (217/297) |
| Long passes |
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| 68% (42/62) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 81% (141/174) | 52% (43/82) |
| Crosses |
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| 26% (9/34) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 65% (15/23) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
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| 56 | 65 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.92 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.92 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+5', Perez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kossonou A. ↓, Deligiannidis P. ↑,
- 46', Perez F. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
- 46', Perez R. ↓, Johnson Eboh T. ↑,
- 46', Christopoulos A. ↓, Musiolik S. ↑,
- 54', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Sagal A. ⚽, Tupta L. (A),
- 56', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 58', Pokorny J. 🟨,
- 59', Sousa G. ↓, Tzimas P. ↑,
- 59', Amani L. ↓, Villafanez L. ↑,
- 59', Villafanez L. 🟨,
- 65', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 67', Sagal A. ↓, Iliadis T. ↑,
- 74', Deligiannidis P. 🟨,
- 82', Sousa H. ↓, Patiras M. ↑,
- 82', Mourgos S. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Pokorny J. ⚽, Patiras M. (A),
- 90', Chatzistravos Z. 🟨,
- 90+5', Pombo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AE Kifisia
50.7% | Draw
27% | AEL Larissa
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AE Kifisia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AE Kifisia's form might have worsened.AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AE Kifisia than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AE Kifisia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
AE Kifisia - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.66) |
3.45 ↓
(3.65) |
4.17 ↓
(5.18) |
7.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AE Kifisia - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kifisia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Larissa will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kifisia: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kifisia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Larissa (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Larissa (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Larissa (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Kifisia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Larissa (votes: 7 - 77.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Kifisia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Larissa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kifisia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kifisia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kifisia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Kifisia: Pantelidis P.
(Red Card)
Roukounakis K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Larissa: Kovacevic B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kifisia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AE Kifisia won against AEL Larissa?
AE Kifisia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against AE Kifisia?
AEL Larissa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AE Kifisia - AEL Larissa were as follows:
30.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
AE Kifisia
1:1
11.05.2025
AEL Larissa
-
AE Kifisia
1:0
Latest results of AE Kifisia
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:15 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 46:17 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos ✔ | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Levadiakos ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Volos | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa ✔ | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 22 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21:39 | -18 | 17 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
