Result
3:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Referee: Katoikos K. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/414) | 83% (333/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/414) | 83% (333/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (82/121) | 71% (107/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 24% (8/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Baku M. ⚽, Jubitana D. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Mansur ⚽, Michorl P. (A),
- 32', Rosic L. ↓, Naor G. ↑,
- 33', Apostolakis K. 🟨,
- 38', Michorl P. 🟨,
- 41', 3 - 0, Baku M. ⚽, Michorl P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sourlis V. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
- 46', Mansur ↓, Mitoglou G. ↑,
- 47', Zuber S. 🟨,
- 48', Zuber S. 🟥,
- 51', 3 - 1, Apostolakis K. ⚽,
- 55', Michorl P. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
- 63', Batubinsika D. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 72', Jubitana D. 🟨,
- 72', Jubitana D. ↓, Karamanis A. ↑,
- 73', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Sisto P. ↑,
- 73', Perez F. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Tupta L. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
- 80', Stavropoulos D. 🟨,
- 80', Karamanis A. 🟨,
- 89', Ukaki E. ↓, Tzovaras G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atromitos Athens
52.1% | Draw
29.6% | AEL Larissa
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atromitos Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Larissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.97) |
3.17 ↑
(3.15) |
5.05 ↑
(4.01) |
6.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Larissa (4.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 2.
- Atromitos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Larissa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Atromitos is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atromitos: Mitoglou G.
(Inactive)
Quini
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Larissa: Atanasov J.
(Injury)
Kossonou A.
(Injury)
Melissas N.
(Inactive)
Sagal A.
(Red Card)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against AEL Larissa?
Atromitos Athens has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Atromitos Athens?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa were as follows:
21.12.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Atromitos Athens
0:0
03.12.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Atromitos Athens
0:1
29.09.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
AEL Larissa
1:1
16.01.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
AEL Larissa
4:0
06.12.2023
AEL Larissa
-
Atromitos Athens
1:1
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 34:45 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 22:62 | -40 | 27 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 24 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
