AEL Larissa vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Greek Super League AEL Larissa - AEK Athens
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 4
  • Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 7
australiaAustraliaSportPlus
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 8
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
usaUsaSportPlus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.732.14
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (220/273)86% (368/427)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.732.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.94
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
311
Shots inside the Box
815
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1432
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
81% (220/273)86% (368/427)
Long passes
48% (23/48)30% (10/33)
Passes in final third
64% (36/56)77% (115/149)
Crosses
33% (5/15)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.032.60
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1215
Tackles
60% (6/10)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3752
Clearances
3514
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.941.35
Goals prevented
-0.060.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Atanasov J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Pasas G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mourgos S. , Giousis C. ,
  • 54', Eliasson N. , Mantalos P. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Mantalos P. , Pilios S. (A),
  • 61', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 64', Pasas G. , Garate L. ,
  • 66', Pantelakis E. 🟨,
  • 71', Tupta L. , Warda A. ,
  • 71', Kovacevic B. , Kossonou A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Chakla S. , Atanasov J. (A),
  • 76', Kutesa D. , Joao Mario ,
  • 77', Marin R. , Pierrot F. ,
  • 81', Sagal A. , Bagalianis P. ,
  • 84', Pilios S. , Penrice J. ,
  • 84', Koita A. , Kaloskamis D. ,

Chances of winning


AEL Larissa
13.9%
Draw
22.7%
AEK Athens
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.5% 19.8% 69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 18.9% 72.9%

AEL Larissa - AEK Athens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.95
(8.9)
4.2
(4.73)
1.51
(1.34)
4.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEK will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
    • Larissa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, AEK is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
    Latest results of AEL Larissa
    17.09.2025 Marko - AEL Larissa 2:2
    30.08.2025 AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia 1:1
    24.08.2025 PAOK - AEL Larissa 1:0
    19.08.2025 Kalamata - AEL Larissa 1:2
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    17.09.2025 Egaleo - AEK Athens 0:1
    14.09.2025 Levadiakos - AEK Athens 0:1
    28.08.2025 AEK Athens - Anderlecht 2:0
    24.08.2025 AEK Athens - Panserraikos 2:0
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PAOK862014:5920
    2Olympiacos Piraeus861118:51319
    3AEK Athens FC85129:7216
    4Aris83328:9-112
    5Levadiakos833219:10912
    6Panathinaikos733110:7312
    7Volos840411:13-212
    8Atromitos823310:919
    9Kifisia823314:1409
    10Panetolikos82249:15-68
    11AEL Larissa81439:13-47
    12OFI Crete72059:16-76
    13Panserraikos81255:15-105
    14Asteras Tripolis80359:16-73

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