AEL Larissa vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 4
  • Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 7
australiaAustraliaSportPlus
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 8
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
usaUsaSportPlus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.732.14
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (220/273)86% (368/427)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.732.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.94
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
311
Shots inside the Box
815
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1432
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
81% (220/273)86% (368/427)
Long passes
48% (23/48)30% (10/33)
Passes in final third
64% (36/56)77% (115/149)
Crosses
33% (5/15)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.032.60
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1215
Tackles
60% (6/10)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3752
Clearances
3514
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.941.35
Goals prevented
-0.060.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Atanasov J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Pasas G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mourgos S. , Giousis C. ,
  • 54', Eliasson N. , Mantalos P. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Mantalos P. , Pilios S. (A),
  • 61', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 64', Pasas G. , Garate L. ,
  • 66', Pantelakis E. 🟨,
  • 71', Tupta L. , Warda A. ,
  • 71', Kovacevic B. , Kossonou A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Chakla S. , Atanasov J. (A),
  • 76', Kutesa D. , Joao Mario ,
  • 77', Marin R. , Pierrot F. ,
  • 81', Sagal A. , Bagalianis P. ,
  • 84', Pilios S. , Penrice J. ,
  • 84', Koita A. , Kaloskamis D. ,

Chances of winning


AEL Larissa
13.9%
Draw
22.7%
AEK Athens
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.5% 19.8% 69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 18.9% 72.9%

AEL Larissa - AEK Athens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.95
(8.9)
4.2
(4.73)
1.51
(1.34)
4.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEK will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
    • Larissa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, AEK is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
    Latest results of AEL Larissa
    17.09.2025 Marko - AEL Larissa 2:2
    30.08.2025 AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia 1:1
    24.08.2025 PAOK - AEL Larissa 1:0
    19.08.2025 Kalamata - AEL Larissa 1:2
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    17.09.2025 Egaleo - AEK Athens 0:1
    14.09.2025 Levadiakos - AEK Athens 0:1
    28.08.2025 AEK Athens - Anderlecht 2:0
    24.08.2025 AEK Athens - Panserraikos 2:0
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus16123133:82539
    2PAOK16122234:122238
    3AEK Athens16122227:121538
    4Levadiakos1694339:182131
    5Panathinaikos1574424:17725
    6Volos1681719:21-225
    7Aris1656514:17-321
    8Kifisia1647523:24-119
    9Panetolikos1643914:27-1315
    10OFI Crete15501019:27-815
    11Asteras Tripolis1627715:23-813
    12Atromitos1634914:22-813
    13AEL Larissa1617814:28-1410
    14Panserraikos1612137:40-335

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