Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Albania | SuperSport 7 | 
|  Australia | SportPlus | 
|  Croatia | SportKlub 8 | 
|  Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 | 
|  Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 | 
|  Russia | Telekanal Futbol | 
|  Serbia | SportKlub 8 | 
|  Slovenia | SportKlub 6 | 
|  Usa | SportPlus | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.14 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 39% | 61% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 24 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (220/273) | 86% (368/427) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.14 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.94 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 24 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 11 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 14 | 32 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (220/273) | 86% (368/427) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 30% (10/33) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 77% (115/149) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 25% (5/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.60 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 15 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (5/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 37 | 52 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 35 | 14 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.35 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.35 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Atanasov J. 🟨, 
- 45+2', Pasas G. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mourgos S. ↓, Giousis C. ↑, 
- 54', Eliasson N. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑, 
- 56', 0 - 1, Mantalos P. ⚽, Pilios S. (A), 
- 61', Perez F. 🟨, 
- 64', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑, 
- 66', Pantelakis E. 🟨, 
- 71', Tupta L. ↓, Warda A. ↑, 
- 71', Kovacevic B. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑, 
- 75', 1 - 1, Chakla S. ⚽, Atanasov J. (A), 
- 76', Kutesa D. ↓, Joao Mario ↑, 
- 77', Marin R. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑, 
- 81', Sagal A. ↓, Bagalianis P. ↑, 
- 84', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑, 
- 84', Koita A. ↓, Kaloskamis D. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | AEL Larissa 13.9%
 | Draw 22.7%
 | AEK Athens 63.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        AEL Larissa - AEK Athens Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 6.95 ↓ (8.9)
 | 4.2 ↓ (4.73)
 | 1.51 ↑ (1.34)
 | 4.3% (7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - AEK Athens?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEK will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Larissa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AEK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AEK is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against AEK Athens?
                    
                    
                        
                            AEL Larissa has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against AEL Larissa?
                    
                    
                        
                             AEK Athens has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - AEK Athens were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of AEL Larissa                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of AEK Athens                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Greek Super League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | PAOK | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 20 | 
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 19 | 
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 | 
| 4 | Aris | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 | 
| 5 | Levadiakos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 12 | 
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 | 
| 7 | Volos | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 | 
| 8 | Atromitos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 | 
| 9 | Kifisia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | 
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | 
| 11 | AEL Larissa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 | 
| 12 | OFI Crete | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 | 
| 13 | Panserraikos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | 
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 3 | 
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