Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 7 |
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | SportKlub 8 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (220/273) | 86% (368/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (220/273) | 86% (368/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 30% (10/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 77% (115/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Atanasov J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pasas G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mourgos S. ↓, Giousis C. ↑,
- 54', Eliasson N. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Mantalos P. ⚽, Pilios S. (A),
- 61', Perez F. 🟨,
- 64', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 66', Pantelakis E. 🟨,
- 71', Tupta L. ↓, Warda A. ↑,
- 71', Kovacevic B. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Chakla S. ⚽, Atanasov J. (A),
- 76', Kutesa D. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 77', Marin R. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 81', Sagal A. ↓, Bagalianis P. ↑,
- 84', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
- 84', Koita A. ↓, Kaloskamis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
13.9% | Draw
22.7% | AEK Athens
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEL Larissa - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.94 ↓
(8.9) |
4.13 ↓
(4.73) |
1.54 ↑
(1.34) |
3.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEK will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Larissa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AEK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AEK is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against AEK Athens?
AEL Larissa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against AEL Larissa?
AEK Athens has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - AEK Athens were as follows:
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | Aris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Volos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Panserraikos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Panetolikos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
