Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (464/528) | 78% (267/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (464/528) | 78% (267/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (113/153) | 68% (45/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 3.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Moukoudi H. ⚽,
- 45+6', Eliasson N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Jovic L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Perez F. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 57', Kakuta G. ↓, Sagal A. ↑,
- 58', Naor G. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 67', Pineda O. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 67', Koita A. ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
- 70', Rosic L. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 75', Olafsson D. 🟨,
- 78', Iliadis T. 🟨,
- 79', Eliasson N. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
- 80', Tupta L. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 84', Sourlis V. 🟨,
- 84', Jovic L. ↓, Zini ↑,
- 90', Relvas F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
78.7% | Draw
14.5% | AEL Larissa
6.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
AEK Athens - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.21) |
6.33 ↑
(5.6) |
13.89 ↑
(13.33) |
6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 64.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- AEK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.
- AEK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Larissa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, AEK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
- There will not play in Larissa: Sourlis V.
(Concussion)
Staikos P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:8. (average 2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:2. (average 2.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against AEL Larissa?
AEK Athens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against AEK Athens?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - AEL Larissa were as follows:
21.09.2025
AEL Larissa
-
AEK Athens
1:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
