Result
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 7 |
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | SportKlub 8 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
12.4% | Draw
20.7% | AEK Athens
66.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEL Larissa - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.64 ↓
(8.9) |
4.55 ↓
(4.73) |
1.42 ↑
(1.34) |
5.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Larissa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AEK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AEK is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against AEK Athens?
AEL Larissa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against AEL Larissa?
AEK Athens has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - AEK Athens were as follows:
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Aris | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Volos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Atromitos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Levadiakos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | AEL Larissa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
