Result
1:1
29/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 5
- Referee: Matsoukas M. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (522/580) | 77% (209/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (522/580) | 77% (209/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (135/164) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Kovacevic B. 🟨,
- 23', Pasas G. 🟥,
- 28', 1 - 0, Ozegovic O. (Pen),
- 33', Tsingaras T. 🟨,
- 40', Pantelakis E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Warda A. ↑,
- 59', Kovacevic B. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Perez F. ⚽, Deligiannidis P. (A),
- 60', Palmezano B. ↓, Jubitana D. ↑,
- 68', Sagal A. 🟨,
- 69', Tsingaras T. ↓, Tsantilas P. ↑,
- 74', Vokolos L. 🟨,
- 76', Tupta L. 🟨,
- 77', Sagal A. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 82', Mountes M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 85', Perez F. ↓, Staikos P. ↑,
- 86', Tupta L. ↓, Bagalianis P. ↑,
- 90+2', Melissas N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Atanasov J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atromitos Athens
46.3% | Draw
28.9% | AEL Larissa
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atromitos Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atromitos Athens's form might have worsened.AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atromitos Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.83) |
3.28 ↓
(3.45) |
3.8 ↓
(4.48) |
5.2%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Atromitos will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atromitos could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Atromitos: Tsiloulis S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atromitos: Tzovaras G.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against AEL Larissa?
Atromitos Athens has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Atromitos Athens?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa were as follows:
16.01.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
AEL Larissa
4:0
06.12.2023
AEL Larissa
-
Atromitos Athens
1:1
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | Aris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Volos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Panserraikos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Panetolikos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
