Result
0:0
21/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (224/300) | 80% (349/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (224/300) | 80% (349/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (44/85) | 69% (69/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Tsantilas P. 🟨,
- 30', Perez F. 🟨,
- 30', Quini 🟨,
- 37', Kossonou A. 🟨,
- 44', Michorl P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Karamanis A. 🟨,
- 65', Tsantilas P. ↓, van Weert T. ↑,
- 65', Garate L. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 74', Apostolakis K. ↓, Deligiannidis P. ↑,
- 74', Sagal A. ↓, Warda A. ↑,
- 81', Mourgos S. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 81', Sourlis V. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
- 85', Baku M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 89', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jubitana D. ↓, Tzovaras G. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
32.6% | Draw
31.3% | Atromitos Athens
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.64) |
3
(3) |
2.6 ↓
(2.77) |
6.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Atromitos will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atromitos: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Larissa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atromitos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atromitos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Larissa: Chakla S.
(Yellow Cards)
Chatzistravos Z.
(Inactive)
Kovacevic B.
(Inactive)
Warda A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atromitos: Moutoussamy S.
(International duty)
Tsiloulis S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Atromitos Athens?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against AEL Larissa?
Atromitos Athens has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens were as follows:
03.12.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Atromitos Athens
0:1
29.09.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
AEL Larissa
1:1
16.01.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
AEL Larissa
4:0
06.12.2023
AEL Larissa
-
Atromitos Athens
1:1
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens ✔ | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:10 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | PAOK | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 47 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 49:29 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Aris | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Volos | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 21 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 27:33 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:34 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14:53 | -39 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
