Levadiakos vs AEL Larissa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 14
  • Referee: Matsoukas M. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
polandPolandSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.040.04
Ball Possession
78%22%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
86% (584/682)61% (119/194)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
3.040.04
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.10
Total shots
183
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
244
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
209
Passes
86% (584/682)61% (119/194)
Long passes
54% (37/69)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
67% (91/136)58% (21/36)
Crosses
15% (4/27)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.08
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
920
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (5/10)
Duels won
6134
Clearances
531
Interceptions
818
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.102.34
Goals prevented
0.10-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Atanasov J. 🟨,
  • 29', Mourgos S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Kosti I. , Liagas P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Perez F. , Andrada L. ,
  • 53', Ozbolt A. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Layous H. ,
  • 60', Tupta L. , Sagal A. ,
  • 60', Staikos P. , Sourlis V. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Ozbolt A. , Layous H. (A),
  • 67', Layous H. , Symelidis P. ,
  • 67', Ozbolt A. , Pedrozo F. ,
  • 71', Palacios S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', Deligiannidis P. , Kossonou A. ,
  • 81', Balzi G. , Goumas K. ,
  • 81', Atanasov J. , Faisal K. ,
  • 87', Kosti I. , Katris G. ,
  • 87', Vichos P. , Filon T. ,
  • 90+1', Apostolakis K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Levadiakos
65.4%
Draw
21.6%
AEL Larissa
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 21.7% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 20.4% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Levadiakos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Levadiakos - AEL Larissa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.43)
    4.33
    (4.32)
    7.29
    (7.35)
    6.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Levadiakos - AEL Larissa?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Levadiakos will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 3.
    • Levadiakos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Larissa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Levadiakos is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Levadiakos: Verbic B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Larissa: Garate L. (Yellow Cards) Warda A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Larissa: Apostolakis K. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Levadiakos - AEL Larissa were as follows:
    02.11.2025 AEL Larissa - Levadiakos 0:2
    24.09.2025 AEL Larissa - Levadiakos 1:2
    10.08.2025 AEL Larissa - Levadiakos 0:2
    03.04.2024 AEL Larissa - Levadiakos 2:2
    25.02.2024 AEL Larissa - Levadiakos 0:0
    Latest results of Levadiakos
    03.12.2025 Marko - Levadiakos 1:3
    30.11.2025 Levadiakos - PAOK 2:3
    24.11.2025 Volos - Levadiakos 1:2
    09.11.2025 Levadiakos - Panserraikos 5:2
    Latest results of AEL Larissa
    29.11.2025 Aris - AEL Larissa 2:1
    24.11.2025 AEL Larissa - OFI 1:2
    08.11.2025 Panetolikos - AEL Larissa 3:0
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AEK Athens26186249:173260
    2Olympiacos Piraeus26177245:113458
    3PAOK26176352:173557
    4Panathinaikos26147544:261849
    5Levadiakos26126851:371442
    6OFI Crete261021434:45-1132
    7Volos26941326:38-1231
    8Aris26612820:27-730
    9Atromitos26781126:30-429
    10Kifisia26691132:42-1027
    11Panetolikos26751424:38-1426
    12AEL Larissa264111122:39-1723
    13Panserraikos26451716:55-3917
    14Asteras Tripolis26381522:41-1917

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )