Result
3:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Zampalas S. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/443) | 85% (340/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/443) | 85% (340/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (42/76) | 72% (75/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Fountas T. ⚽, Kostoulas K. (A),
- 7', 2 - 0, Fountas T. ⚽, Shengelia L. (A),
- 12', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ferigra E. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑,
- 46', Sisto P. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 0, Salcedo E. ⚽, Kanellopoulos G. (A),
- 61', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Bainovic F. ↑,
- 64', Macon Y. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 64', Olafsson D. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
- 73', Salcedo E. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
- 73', Sagal A. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 73', Androutsos A. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
- 76', Apostolakis K. 🟨,
- 82', Shengelia L. ↓, Theodosoulakis I. ↑,
- 82', Athanasiou N. ↓, Chatzitheodoridis I. ↑,
- 88', Kossonou A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Naor G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
OFI
40.7% | Draw
30.6% | AEL Larissa
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFI's form might have worsened.AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEL Larissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OFI - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2) |
3.07 ↓
(3.15) |
3.24 ↓
(3.92) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for OFI - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Larissa will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OFI: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - OFI (1.40) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - OFI (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - OFI (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 3 - 60%). Larissa (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in OFI: Gonzalez B.
(Inactive)
Karachalios Z.
(Injury)
Nuss T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Larissa: Sourlis V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, OFI won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against AEL Larissa?
OFI has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against OFI?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - AEL Larissa were as follows:
24.11.2025
AEL Larissa
-
OFI
1:2
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:15 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | AEK Athens ✔ | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 46:17 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos ✔ | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Levadiakos ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atromitos | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Volos | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa ✔ | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 22 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21:39 | -18 | 17 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
