Result
1:1
02/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/328) | 80% (306/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/328) | 80% (306/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (66/108) | 55% (51/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 43', Pasas G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sourlis V. ↓, Sagal A. ↑,
- 52', Gelashvili I. ↓, De Marco V. ↑,
- 64', Olafsson D. ↓, Papageorgiou A. ↑,
- 74', Pasas G. ↓, Sisto P. ↑,
- 74', Alex Teixeira ↓, Maskanakis A. ↑,
- 74', Doiranlis G. ↓, Ben Sallam S. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Tupta L. ⚽,
- 77', Iliadis T. 🟨,
- 80', Kalinin I. 🟨,
- 80', Tupta L. 🟨,
- 84', Perez F. ↓, Pantelakis E. ↑,
- 86', Tsaousis M. ↓, Karelis N. ↑,
- 90+2', Venetikidis T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Karelis N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Papageorgiou A. 🟨,
- 90+11', Karasalidis A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panserraikos
29.6% | Draw
33.3% | AEL Larissa
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panserraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panserraikos's form might have worsened.AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panserraikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Panserraikos - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.7) |
2.84 ↓
(3.2) |
2.55 ↓
(2.6) |
6.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panserraikos - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 2.
- Panserraikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Larissa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panserraikos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panserraikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panserraikos has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panserraikos?
AEL Larissa has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panserraikos - AEL Larissa were as follows:
26.04.2026
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
0:1
24.01.2026
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
1:0
25.10.2025
Panserraikos
-
AEL Larissa
0:2
12.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
1:1
26.09.2024
AEL Larissa
-
Panserraikos
0:1
Latest results of Panserraikos
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23:63 | -40 | 28 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 25 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
