Result
3:0
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 10
- Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (391/448) | 86% (331/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (391/448) | 86% (331/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 60% (21/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (74/100) | 72% (76/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Nkololo B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Warda A. ↓, Vignato E. ↑,
- 58', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Mavrias Ch. ⚽, Matan A. (A),
- 71', Atanasov J. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
- 73', Esteban Diego ↓, Kontouris S. ↑,
- 73', Aguirre J. ↓, Aleksic K. ↑,
- 74', Bagalianis P. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 0, Aleksic K. (Pen),
- 80', Staikos P. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 80', Tupta L. ↓, Faisal K. ↑,
- 83', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Kojic L. ↑,
- 84', Nkololo B. ↓, Chura J. ↑,
- 89', Matan A. ↓, Nikolaou E. ↑,
- 90+4', Nikolaou E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos
44.4% | Draw
29% | AEL Larissa
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Panetolikos - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.08) |
3.24 ↓
(3.25) |
3.51 ↑
(3.37) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 3.
- Panetolikos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Larissa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Panetolikos could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Larissa: Deligiannidis P.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panetolikos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panetolikos?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - AEL Larissa were as follows:
01.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Panetolikos
0:1
Latest results of Panetolikos
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:7 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | PAOK | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Volos | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Aris | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | OFI Crete | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 6 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
