AEL Limassol vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
39
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
915
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Jaja (Penalty Awarded),
  • 34', Maseko T. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Jaja ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Sawo Z. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Correia J. , Sema K. ,
  • 65', Lele , Anderson Silva ,
  • 68', Imanishimwe E. , Neofytou K. ,
  • 68', Maseko T. , Mughe F. R. ,
  • 73', David Luiz , Mimovic O. ,
  • 73', Bogdan L. 🟨,
  • 75', Ioannou N. 🟨,
  • 81', Glavcic N. , Jradi B. Z. ,
  • 87', Jaja , Dani Silva ,
  • 88', Singh L. , Paroutis D. ,

Chances of winning


AEL Limassol
23.5%
Draw
27%
Paphos
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 26.5% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 25.8% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • AEL Limassol - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.96
    (4.26)
    3.4
    (3.46)
    1.86
    (1.76)
    8.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 0.
    • Recent form of AEL has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paphos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Paphos is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - Paphos were as follows:
    15.02.2026 AEL Limassol - Paphos 0:1
    02.11.2025 Paphos - AEL Limassol 1:0
    06.01.2025 Paphos - AEL Limassol 4:0
    22.09.2024 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:3
    23.12.2023 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:2
    Latest results of AEL Limassol
    Latest results of Paphos
    04.04.2026 Omonia - Paphos 2:0
    22.03.2026 Paphos - Apollon Limassol 1:1
    14.03.2026 Akritas Chlorakas - Paphos 0:4
    07.03.2026 Paphos - Krasava Ypsonas 7:0
    01.03.2026 Aris Limassol - Paphos 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1M.E.A.P. NisouApollon1 : 5
    2KarmiotissaAnorthosis1 : 3
    3ASIL LysiOl. Nicosia0 : 2
    4Omonia AradippouAyia Napa4 : 0
    5APOELZakakiou5 : 0
    6Achyronas-OnisilosApea Akrotiriou0 : 2
    7KitiouAchnas0 : 4
    8ParalimniHalkanoras2 : 0
    9OmoniaBye
    10ByeAEK Larnaca
    11ArisOmonia 29th May2 : 1
    12Ethnikos LatsionAEL Limassol1 : 2
    13KrasavaNea Salamis1 : 2
    14ByeDigenis Akritas
    15PafosBye
    16ChlorakaDoxa5 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ApollonAnorthosis2 : 0
    2Ol. NicosiaOmonia Aradippou3 : 4
    3APOELApea Akrotiriou1 : 0
    4AchnasParalimni1 : 2
    5OmoniaAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    6ArisAEL Limassol0 : 1
    7Nea SalamisDigenis Akritas2 : 3
    8PafosChloraka2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ApollonOmonia Aradippou3 : 2
    2APOELParalimni3 : 2
    3OmoniaAEL Limassol1 : 2
    4Digenis AkritasPafos0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1ApollonAPOEL
    2AEL LimassolPafos1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2