Result
0:1
15/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 22
- Referee: Kyriakos A. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Bruno ⚽,
- 36', Sawo Z. 🟨,
- 37', Pepe 🟨,
- 44', Sunjic I. ↓, Mimovic O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Dragomir V. 🟨,
- 59', Sergio Conceicao 🟨,
- 64', Jaja 🟨,
- 74', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
- 75', Leo Natel ↓, Singh L. ↑,
- 75', Lele ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
- 75', Dani Silva ↓, Brito A. ↑,
- 78', Guessand A. 🟨,
- 81', Stevanovic D. ↓, Jradi B. Z. ↑,
- 81', Maseko T. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
- 85', Ioannou N. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
- 90+3', Sawo Z. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Limassol
21.7% | Draw
26.7% | Paphos
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
AEL Limassol - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.26 ↓
(4.5) |
3.46 ↓
(3.75) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
8.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - AEL (4.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEL (votes: 1 - 50%). Paphos (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, AEL has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Paphos is the team to beat.
- There will not play in AEL: Frantzis C.
(Inactive)
Neofytou K.
(Surgery)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Limassol won against Paphos?
AEL Limassol has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against AEL Limassol?
Paphos has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - Paphos were as follows:
02.11.2025
Paphos
-
AEL Limassol
1:0
06.01.2025
Paphos
-
AEL Limassol
4:0
22.09.2024
AEL Limassol
-
Paphos
1:3
23.12.2023
AEL Limassol
-
Paphos
1:2
02.09.2023
Paphos
-
AEL Limassol
3:1
Latest results of AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
