Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Albanian Cup - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
65
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
21
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sota E. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Ze Gomes ,
  • 45+7', Musta E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Gruda I. , Selmani K. ,
  • 64', Adjessa D. , Buric N. ,
  • 73', Ze Gomes , Blaise Tsague ,
  • 74', Boye I. , Diallo I. ,
  • 78', Albanese A. , Jefferson ,
  • 78', Fangaj A. , Jaime G. ,
  • 78', Ruci F. , Bakayoko S. ,
  • 90+3', Lajthia X. , Kasa K. ,

Chances of winning


Egnatia Rrogozhinë
43.6%
Draw
31.3%
AF Elbasani
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 30.9% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.
  • AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AF Elbasani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AF Elbasani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.32)
    2.91
    (2.88)
    3.63
    (2.91)
    9.9%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egnatia won 1.
    • Egnatia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AF Elbasani's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • AF Elbasani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Egnatia has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Egnatia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Egnatia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani were as follows:
    20.03.2026 AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:0
    18.01.2026 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani 2:2
    09.11.2025 AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1:0
    30.08.2025 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani 1:1
    09.02.2025 AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1:2
    Latest results of Egnatia Rrogozhinë
    Latest results of AF Elbasani
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1KF TiranaBye
    3SkenderbeuBasania5 : 2
    4Iliria Fushe-KrujeLuzi5 : 1
    5Dinamo TiranaBye
    7Besa KavajeShkumbini Peqin5 : 0
    8KukesiTerbuni3 : 1
    9BylisBye
    11LaciKelcyra3 : 0
    12AF LuftetariOriku2 : 0
    13VllazniaBye
    15PogradeciDelvina4 : 0
    16Korabi PeshkopiKoplik4 : 1
    17TeutaBye
    19VoraMaliqi6 : 2
    20ErzeniLibrazhd0 : 2
    21EgnatiaBye
    23Apolonia FierBeselidhja Lezha3 : 0
    24LushnjaButrinti Sarande2 : 1
    25AF ElbasaniBye
    27FlamurtariKucove5 : 0
    28KF ValbonaTomori Berat (WO.)
    29PartizaniBye
    31BurreliAlbanet3 : 1
    32KastriotiDevolli3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1KF TiranaBye
    2SkenderbeuIliria Fushe-Kruje4 : 2
    3Dinamo TiranaBye
    4Besa KavajeKukesi3 : 1
    5BylisBye
    6LaciAF Luftetari2 : 0
    7VllazniaBye
    8PogradeciKorabi Peshkopi4 : 3
    9TeutaBye
    10VoraLibrazhd2 : 1
    11EgnatiaBye
    12Apolonia FierLushnja3 : 2
    13AF ElbasaniBye
    14FlamurtariTomori Berat9 : 0
    15PartizaniBye
    16BurreliKastrioti5 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1KF TiranaSkenderbeu2 : 1
    2Dinamo TiranaBesa Kavaje3 : 0
    3BylisLaci3 : 2
    4VllazniaPogradeci1 : 0
    5TeutaVora2 : 0
    6EgnatiaApolonia Fier1 : 0
    7AF ElbasaniFlamurtari2 : 1
    8PartizaniBurreli3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1KF TiranaDinamo Tirana0 : 2, 0 : 2
    2BylisVllaznia1 : 2, 0 : 1
    3TeutaEgnatia0 : 0, 1 : 2
    4AF ElbasaniPartizani3 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Dinamo TiranaVllaznia1 : 1
    2EgnatiaAF Elbasani1 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2