AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
22/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Albanian Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaKlani IM, RTSH Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
52
Yellow cards
27
Total shots
78
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Gruda I. ,
  • 13', Bakayoko S. 🟨,
  • 28', Sota E. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Boye I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Azemovic E. , Olberkis S. ,
  • 46', Sota E. , Jaime G. ,
  • 46', Loukili K. , Kasa K. ,
  • 53', Musta E. 🟨,
  • 54', Jaime G. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Musta E. ,
  • 66', Boye I. , Diallo I. ,
  • 68', Aleksi A. 🟨,
  • 69', Gruda I. , Yahaya M. ,
  • 69', Fernando Medeiros , Kryeziu A. ,
  • 73', Ze Gomes , Blaise Tsague ,
  • 81', Bakayoko S. , Adjessa D. ,
  • 82', Adjessa D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Selmani K. , Albanese A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 105', Xhemajli A. 🟨,
  • 106', Lajthia X. , Nongoh S. ,
  • 106', Kryeziu A. 🟨,
  • 114', Aleksi A. , Ruci F. ,
  • 120+1', Manellari I. , Lleshi A. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Albanese A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Kasa K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Jaime G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Lleshi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Xhemajli A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Blaise Tsague (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Kryeziu A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Musta E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Fangaj A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


AF Elbasani
38%
Draw
31.2%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 31.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 30.3% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AF Elbasani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.16)
    2.93
    (2.95)
    2.96
    (3.51)
    9.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AF Elbasani won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • AF Elbasani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • AF Elbasani might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AF Elbasani won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AF Elbasani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë were as follows:
    08.04.2026 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani 1:1
    20.03.2026 AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:0
    18.01.2026 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani 2:2
    09.11.2025 AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1:0
    30.08.2025 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani 1:1
    Latest results of AF Elbasani
    Latest results of Egnatia Rrogozhinë
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1KF TiranaBye
    3SkenderbeuBasania5 : 2
    4Iliria Fushe-KrujeLuzi5 : 1
    5Dinamo TiranaBye
    7Besa KavajeShkumbini Peqin5 : 0
    8KukesiTerbuni3 : 1
    9BylisBye
    11LaciKelcyra3 : 0
    12AF LuftetariOriku2 : 0
    13VllazniaBye
    15PogradeciDelvina4 : 0
    16Korabi PeshkopiKoplik4 : 1
    17TeutaBye
    19VoraMaliqi6 : 2
    20ErzeniLibrazhd0 : 2
    21EgnatiaBye
    23Apolonia FierBeselidhja Lezha3 : 0
    24LushnjaButrinti Sarande2 : 1
    25AF ElbasaniBye
    27FlamurtariKucove5 : 0
    28KF ValbonaTomori Berat (WO.)
    29PartizaniBye
    31BurreliAlbanet3 : 1
    32KastriotiDevolli3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1KF TiranaBye
    2SkenderbeuIliria Fushe-Kruje4 : 2
    3Dinamo TiranaBye
    4Besa KavajeKukesi3 : 1
    5BylisBye
    6LaciAF Luftetari2 : 0
    7VllazniaBye
    8PogradeciKorabi Peshkopi4 : 3
    9TeutaBye
    10VoraLibrazhd2 : 1
    11EgnatiaBye
    12Apolonia FierLushnja3 : 2
    13AF ElbasaniBye
    14FlamurtariTomori Berat9 : 0
    15PartizaniBye
    16BurreliKastrioti5 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1KF TiranaSkenderbeu2 : 1
    2Dinamo TiranaBesa Kavaje3 : 0
    3BylisLaci3 : 2
    4VllazniaPogradeci1 : 0
    5TeutaVora2 : 0
    6EgnatiaApolonia Fier1 : 0
    7AF ElbasaniFlamurtari2 : 1
    8PartizaniBurreli3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1KF TiranaDinamo Tirana0 : 2, 0 : 2
    2BylisVllaznia1 : 2, 0 : 1
    3TeutaEgnatia0 : 0, 1 : 2
    4AF ElbasaniPartizani3 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Dinamo TiranaVllaznia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    2EgnatiaAF Elbasani2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Dinamo TiranaEgnatia