AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 84', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


AFC Leopards
47%
Draw
32.1%
APS Bomet
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 28.5% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 27.3% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Leopards's form might have worsened.
  • APS Bomet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Leopards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • AFC Leopards - APS Bomet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.74)
    2.83
    (3.21)
    4.35
    (4.81)
    10.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for AFC Leopards - APS Bomet?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - APS Bomet (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APS Bomet (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
    • Leopards is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • APS Bomet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • APS Bomet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, APS Bomet has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Leopards is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Leopards will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of AFC Leopards
    Latest results of APS Bomet
    10.01.2026 APS Bomet - Mara Sugar 1:1
    21.12.2025 APS Bomet - Tusker 0:1
    16.12.2025 Kenya CB - APS Bomet 4:2
    12.12.2025 APS Bomet - Posta Rangers 0:0
    07.12.2025 APS Bomet - Bandari 1:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia29187445:192661
    2Leopards29167636:221455
    3Police FC291212526:17948
    4Kakamega Homeboyz291211643:301347
    5Shabana29138832:30247
    6Nairobi United29129840:301045
    7KCB291181030:31-141
    8Tusker291251224:27-341
    9Mara Sugar29913727:25240
    10Bandari29815622:20239
    11Muranga291081135:35038
    12Mathare Utd30981328:31-335
    13Posta Rangers297111124:36-1232
    14APS Bomet297101229:33-431
    15Ulinzi Stars29871429:34-531
    16Kariobangi Sharks296111219:30-1129
    17Bidco United294111417:34-1723
    18Sofapaka30391817:39-2218

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League