Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
AFC Leopards
42.4% | Draw
33.6% | Tusker
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
AFC Leopards - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.05) |
2.7 ↓
(3) |
3.78 ↑
(3.68) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Leopards may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Leopards might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Leopards won against Tusker?
AFC Leopards has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against AFC Leopards?
Tusker has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Leopards - Tusker were as follows:
11.01.2026
Tusker
-
AFC Leopards
0:4
03.05.2025
Tusker
-
AFC Leopards
0:0
11.12.2024
AFC Leopards
-
Tusker
4:1
10.03.2024
Tusker
-
AFC Leopards
1:0
04.12.2023
AFC Leopards
-
Tusker
0:0
Latest results of AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
