Alfreton Town vs AFC Telford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Samuels A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Alfreton Town
37.5%
Draw
29.1%
AFC Telford United
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.4% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 26.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (1.93)
    3.15
    (3.4)
    2.85
    (3.3)
    7%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 5.
    • Recent form of Alfreton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Telford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United 1:0
    29.10.2022 AFC Telford United - Alfreton Town 1:2
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    Latest results of AFC Telford United
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields34238376:294777
    2AFC Fylde34243783:374675
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Kidderminster331611645:351059
    5Darlington341681065:491656
    6Macclesfield32167958:471155
    7Radcliffe351741463:55855
    8Scarborough3614121049:44554
    9AFC Telford3514111068:482053
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton31881530:56-2632
    23Hereford29781435:50-1529
    24Leamington34572225:60-3522

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation