Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ,
  • 45+3', Lucas L. 🟥,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, Dyer A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 3, Walker R. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Jarvis C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 4, Hadley-Allen D. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
36.6%
Draw
24.5%
AFC Telford United
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 24.4% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.3% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.39)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    2.37
    (2.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AFC Telford United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 AFC Telford United - Merthyr Town 2:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of AFC Telford United
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde39274894:425285
    2South Shields39259585:364984
    3Kidderminster371812754:391566
    4Merthyr Town402131687:731466
    5Darlington391981271:531865
    6Macclesfield371971168:551364
    7Scarborough4016141055:47862
    8AFC Telford4016121277:542360
    9Buxton391761665:531257
    10Chester4015121358:62-457
    11Radcliffe391751765:63256
    12Marine371671451:55-455
    13Spennymoor381591452:63-1154
    14Southport4013121555:61-651
    15Chorley3913101660:59149
    16Curzon Ashton4012111759:74-1547
    17Worksop401381952:69-1747
    18Kingu2019s Lynn3911131547:53-646
    19Bedford4011101956:70-1443
    20Oxford City391191949:59-1042
    21Hereford351081748:63-1538
    22Alfreton379101836:67-3137
    23Peterborough Sports401072343:75-3237
    24Leamington39582628:70-4223

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation