Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ,
  • 45+3', Lucas L. 🟥,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, Dyer A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 3, Walker R. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Jarvis C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 4, Hadley-Allen D. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
36.6%
Draw
24.5%
AFC Telford United
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 24.4% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.3% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.39)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    2.37
    (2.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AFC Telford United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 AFC Telford United - Merthyr Town 2:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of AFC Telford United
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde4430410104:495594
    2South Shields432710694:405491
    3Kidderminster432212967:481978
    4Macclesfield422371278:601876
    5Scarborough4418151158:50869
    6Chester4419121364:63169
    7Darlington442081676:641268
    8Merthyr Town432141889:791067
    9Buxton432061773:581566
    10AFC Telford4417131484:622264
    11Spennymoor4418101659:68-964
    12Marine421871757:63-661
    13Radcliffe431762073:77-457
    14Southport4315121661:65-457
    15Worksop441592057:72-1554
    16Chorley4414111963:63053
    17Bedford4413121964:75-1151
    18Curzon Ashton4413121964:81-1751
    19Oxford City4313111956:63-750
    20Kingu2019s Lynn4412141855:63-850
    21Hereford421292156:73-1745
    22Alfreton4311122041:75-3445
    23Peterborough Sports ✔ 441082649:86-3738
    24Leamington ✔ 44782938:83-4529

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
    Leamington is Relegated to