Newcastle United vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:0
01/10/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
202
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
91
Corner Kicks
101
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
2117
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Fouls
107
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', Biler H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Schar F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Barnes H. , Guimaraes B. ,
  • 46', Dubravka M. , Ruddy J. ,
  • 52', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
  • 55', Longstaff S. 🟨,
  • 62', Biler H. , Neufville J. ,
  • 62', Pigott J. , Stevens M. ,
  • 62', Joelinton , Gordon A. ,
  • 62', Krafth E. , Hall L. ,
  • 89', Hippolyte M. , Smith A. ,
  • 89', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90', Tilley J. , Furlong J. ,
  • 90', Schar F. , Burn D. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
86%
Draw
9.9%
AFC Wimbledon
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 18.2% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 14% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+75.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-67.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-72.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+50.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (9.21)
    9.79
    (5.22)
    22.86
    (1.33)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing at St James' Park.
    • Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wimbledon in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Newcastle have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1AccringtonOldham
    2BarnetNewport2 : 3