Newcastle United vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:0
01/10/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
202
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
91
Corner Kicks
101
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
2117
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Fouls
107
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', Biler H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Schar F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Barnes H. , Guimaraes B. ,
  • 46', Dubravka M. , Ruddy J. ,
  • 52', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
  • 55', Longstaff S. 🟨,
  • 62', Biler H. , Neufville J. ,
  • 62', Pigott J. , Stevens M. ,
  • 62', Joelinton , Gordon A. ,
  • 62', Krafth E. , Hall L. ,
  • 89', Hippolyte M. , Smith A. ,
  • 89', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90', Tilley J. , Furlong J. ,
  • 90', Schar F. , Burn D. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
86%
Draw
9.9%
AFC Wimbledon
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 18.2% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 14% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+75.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-67.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-72.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+50.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (9.21)
    9.79
    (5.22)
    22.86
    (1.33)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing at St James' Park.
    • Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wimbledon in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Newcastle have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd