AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.26
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
10
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
4727
Touches in the Opposition Box
2715
Passes
68% (252/369)47% (97/207)
Passes in the final third
62% (92/148)41% (35/86)
Crosses
24% (6/25)30% (3/10)
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
2449
Interceptions
317

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Hay A. , Archer E. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Browne M. , Tilley J. (A),
  • 45+1', Power D. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Thomas J. , Williams E. ,
  • 66', Miller G. , Taylor M. ,
  • 77', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Taylor M. , Hay A. (A),
  • 84', Bugiel O. , Foyo O. ,
  • 84', Tilley J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 87', Smith A. , Maycock C. ,

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
54.8%
Draw
26.8%
Cheltenham Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.68)
    3.52
    (3.79)
    5.1
    (4.77)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3.
    • Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Cheltenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 2.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    04.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 5:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MK Dons ✔ 452413885:444185
    2Bromley ✔ 452315768:452384
    3Cambridge Utd452215866:333381
    4Salford452551561:511080
    5Notts Co452471473:512279
    6Grimsby4522111273:492477
    7Chesterfield452016969:551476
    8Swindon452291469:571275
    9Barnet4520131268:521673
    10Crewe451991764:58666
    11Oldham4517141457:441365
    12Walsall4518111655:53265
    13Colchester4517121658:481063
    14Bristol Rovers451942255:64-961
    15Fleetwood4515151556:57-160
    16Accrington4514112047:55-853
    17Cheltenham4514102152:75-2352
    18Gillingham4512141952:72-2050
    19Shrewsbury4513102242:68-2649
    20Tranmere4510102553:78-2540
    21Newport451172746:76-3040
    22Crawley458152244:68-2439
    23Harrogate451092638:66-2839
    24Barrow45992744:76-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One
    Bromley is Qualified for League One