Result
1:2
02/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.07 | 1.63 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Goal Attempts |
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15 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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7 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 4 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Fouls |
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4 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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25 | 25 |
Passes |
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79% (389/492) | 75% (247/330) |
Passes in the final third |
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57% (50/88) | 67% (78/116) |
Crosses |
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9% (2/22) | 23% (5/22) |
Tackles |
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55% (6/11) | 75% (15/20) |
Clearances Total |
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35 | 48 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Harbottle R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Harbottle R. ↓, Sawyers R. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Kelly J. ⚽,
- 54', Tilley J. 🟨,
- 56', Kelly J. 🟨,
- 61', Hudlin K. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
- 77', Whitmore K. ↓, Miley J. ↑,
- 77', Spellman M. ↓, Greaves O. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 2, Sawyers R. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
- 80', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
- 84', Stevens M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 90', McLoughlin S. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Greaves O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport County 23.7% | Draw 27.2% | AFC Wimbledon 49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newport County - AFC Wimbledon Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.95 ↓ (4.67) |
3.44 ↓ (3.95) |
1.92 ↑ (1.66) |
6.4% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5% – 86.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Newport have a series of guest games.
- In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against AFC Wimbledon?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Newport County?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
03.12.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Newport County
2:2
16.03.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Newport County
0:2
02.09.2023
Newport County
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:2
14.03.2023
Newport County
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:1
26.12.2022
AFC Wimbledon
-
Newport County
1:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League