Náutico Capibaribe vs Afogados da Ingazeira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira
Result
4:0
09/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Kayon ,
  • 32', Filipe Eduardo , Acaua ,
  • 42', Acaua 🟨,
  • 42', Vinicius 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Bruno Mezenga , Helio Borges ,
  • 46', Wenderson , Patrick Allan ,
  • 46', Pedro Henrique , Marcelo ,
  • 46', Helio Borges 🟨,
  • 54', Claudio Caca-Rato 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Helio Borges ,
  • 64', Felipe Santana 🟨,
  • 67', Kayon , Marco Antonio ,
  • 75', Otusanya O. , Kauan Maranhao ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 86', Denner 🟨,
  • 86', Denner , Rai ,
  • 87', Igor Fernandes , de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Marcos Ytalo ,
  • 90+1', Acaua , Stuart ,
  • 90+1', Leozinho , Cadu ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
68.5%
Draw
20.8%
Afogados da Ingazeira
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 22.6% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 21.4% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.41)
    4.39
    (4.01)
    8.56
    (6.92)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2.
    • Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Afogados is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Afogados could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Náutico is absolute favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Náutico won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira were as follows:
    01.03.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira 2:0
    07.02.2023 Afogados da Ingazeira - Náutico Capibaribe 0:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Afogados da Ingazeira
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2