Afragolese vs Città di Fasano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
04/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ferrara A. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Corvino V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Corvino V. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Zerbo G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Penza E. ,

Chances of winning


Afragolese
36.1%
Draw
27.2%
Città di Fasano
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 26% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 25.5% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Afragolese - Città di Fasano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.47)
    3.32
    (3.48)
    2.45
    (2.43)
    11%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fasano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afragolese - Città di Fasano were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Città di Fasano - Afragolese 2:0
    23.04.2023 Città di Fasano - Afragolese 0:1
    11.12.2022 Afragolese - Città di Fasano 0:1
    Latest results of Afragolese
    21.12.2025 Afragolese - Francavilla 1:2
    14.12.2025 Gravina - Afragolese 1:0
    07.12.2025 Real Normanna - Afragolese 1:1
    30.11.2025 Afragolese - Paganese 2:0
    Latest results of Città di Fasano
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta281510343:162755
    2Paganese28165729:22753
    3Martina Calcio28157640:261452
    4Citta di Fasano28157639:291052
    5Afragolese28137842:33946
    6A.C.D. Nardo281112535:251045
    7Virtus Francavilla281110739:271243
    8Gravina281161133:37-439
    9Fidelis Andria281071129:25437
    10SS Nola 1925281071140:41-137
    11Real Normanna28812822:20236
    12Manfredonia28981129:33-435
    13Heraclea28961323:28-533
    14Sarnese287111040:41-132
    15Francavilla28871326:33-731
    16Ferrandina28671518:33-1525
    17Pompei28561714:31-1721
    18Acerrana28352015:56-4114

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation