Afragolese vs Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Afragolese - Francavilla
22/01/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Afragolese
33.4%
Draw
30.8%
Francavilla
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 30.5% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.5% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afragolese's form might have worsened.
  • Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francavilla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afragolese - Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.14)
    2.96
    (2.85)
    2.56
    (3.01)
    9.4%
    (15%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Latest results of Afragolese
    15.01.2023 Cavese - Afragolese 1:1
    08.01.2023 Afragolese - Bitonto 1:2
    21.12.2022 Afragolese - Molfetta 1:1
    17.12.2022 Gladiator - Afragolese 1:1
    Latest results of Francavilla
    15.01.2023 Francavilla - Nocerina 3:2
    17.12.2022 Francavilla - Casarano 0:0
    11.12.2022 Lavello - Francavilla 0:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1