Afragolese vs Heraclea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, Filippini L. ,

Chances of winning


Afragolese
44.7%
Draw
27.5%
Heraclea
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.6% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.5% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Heraclea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Afragolese - Heraclea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2)
    3.3
    (3.25)
    3.27
    (3.25)
    10.3%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Heraclea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Afragolese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Afragolese
    25.01.2026 Pompei - Afragolese 0:2
    18.01.2026 Afragolese - Nola 0:0
    11.01.2026 Sarnese - Afragolese 1:2
    21.12.2025 Afragolese - Francavilla 1:2
    Latest results of Heraclea
    25.01.2026 Heraclea - Gravina 2:2
    11.01.2026 Heraclea - Paganese 1:2
    04.01.2026 Real Normanna - Heraclea 0:2
    21.12.2025 Ferrandina - Heraclea 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation