Lavello vs Afragolese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Lavello - Afragolese
Result
1:2
26/02/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 25

Chances of winning


Lavello
40.1%
Draw
30.2%
Afragolese
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 29.3% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 30.6% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lavello's performance.
  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afragolese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavello that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afragolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lavello - Afragolese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (3.14)
    2.99
    (2.97)
    3.05
    (2.02)
    10.8%
    (15%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).
    • Lavello is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Afragolese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lavello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lavello - Afragolese were as follows:
    23.10.2022 Afragolese - Lavello 1:1
    Latest results of Lavello
    19.02.2023 Molfetta - Lavello 3:0
    05.02.2023 Nardo - Lavello 4:0
    29.01.2023 Lavello - Nocerina 1:0
    22.01.2023 Casarano - Lavello 3:0
    Latest results of Afragolese
    19.02.2023 Afragolese - Casarano 0:1
    12.02.2023 Nocerina - Afragolese 1:1
    05.02.2023 Afragolese - Gravina 0:2
    22.01.2023 Afragolese - Francavilla 3:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1