Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sarnese
41.7% | Draw
28.2% | Afragolese
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Sarnese - Afragolese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.32) |
3.2 ↓
(3.45) |
2.99 ↑
(2.58) |
10.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- Sarnese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Afragolese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarnese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Afragolese?
Sarnese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Afragolese won against Sarnese?
Afragolese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarnese - Afragolese were as follows:
14.09.2025
Afragolese
-
Sarnese
2:3
Latest results of Sarnese
Latest results of Afragolese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 43:16 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Paganese | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Gravina | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | SS Nola 1925 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Heraclea | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:28 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Sarnese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Francavilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 18:33 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Pompei | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 14:31 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
