Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 32
- Referee: Putros S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.87 | 2.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (396/479) | 86% (494/576) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.87 | 2.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.88 | 3.04 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
34 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (396/479) | 86% (494/576) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (26/55) | 51% (27/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (95/142) | 73% (109/150) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (4/25) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.51 | 1.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.04 | 1.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Molgaard T. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽,
- 41', Vallys N. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 2, Nartey N. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 3, Vallys N. ⚽,
- 59', Nartey N. 🟨,
- 61', Arnstad K. ↓, Poulsen N. ↑,
- 66', Nartey N. ↓, Tahirovic B. ↑,
- 66', Klaiber S. ↓, Vanlerberghe J. ↑,
- 70', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 70', Bach T. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 74', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 81', Beijmo F. ↓, Dalsgaard H. ↑,
- 81', Bech T. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+2', Suzuki Y. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 90+3', Rajovic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus 27.5% | Draw 24.9% | Brøndby 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brøndby's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brøndby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AGF Aarhus - Brøndby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.42 ↑ (2.91) |
3.79 ↑ (3.59) |
1.99 ↓ (2.29) |
5.9% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Brøndby?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 50%). Brøndby (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Brøndby will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.
- Aarhus has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Brøndby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Brøndby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Injury)
Badji Y.
(Injury)
Links G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Kahl E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Brøndby?
AGF Aarhus has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brøndby won against AGF Aarhus?
Brøndby has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Brøndby were as follows:
07.04.2025
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
15.12.2024
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
4:2
08.12.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
21.10.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
11.08.2024
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
0:1
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Brøndby
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Brondby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Nordsjaelland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Odense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Sonderjyske | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Randers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Fredericia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Viborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Silkeborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )