Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 32
- Referee: Putros S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (396/479) | 86% (494/576) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 3.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (396/479) | 86% (494/576) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/142) | 73% (109/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Molgaard T. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽,
- 41', Vallys N. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 2, Nartey N. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 3, Vallys N. ⚽,
- 59', Nartey N. 🟨,
- 61', Arnstad K. ↓, Poulsen N. ↑,
- 66', Nartey N. ↓, Tahirovic B. ↑,
- 66', Klaiber S. ↓, Vanlerberghe J. ↑,
- 70', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 70', Bach T. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 74', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 81', Beijmo F. ↓, Dalsgaard H. ↑,
- 81', Bech T. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+2', Suzuki Y. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 90+3', Rajovic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
27.5% | Draw
24.9% | Brøndby
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brøndby's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brøndby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AGF Aarhus - Brøndby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.91) |
3.79 ↑
(3.59) |
1.99 ↓
(2.29) |
5.9%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Brøndby?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 50%). Brøndby (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Brøndby will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.
- Aarhus has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Brøndby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Brøndby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Injury)
Badji Y.
(Injury)
Links G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Kahl E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Brøndby?
AGF Aarhus has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brøndby won against AGF Aarhus?
Brøndby has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Brøndby were as follows:
07.04.2025
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
15.12.2024
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
4:2
08.12.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
21.10.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
11.08.2024
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
0:1
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Brøndby
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:11 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Aarhus | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Brondby | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sonderjyske | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Fredericia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Viborg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nordsjaelland | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Odense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Randers FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Vejle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
