AGF Aarhus vs Brøndby: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus).

: Superliga - Championship Group - Round 32
Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	2.44
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
9	8
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
83% (396/479)	86% (494/576)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	2.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	3.04
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
9	8
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
12	10
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
34	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	8
Passes
83% (396/479)	86% (494/576)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
67% (95/142)	73% (109/150)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.51	1.28
Throw-ins
19	13
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
82% (14/17)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
39	37
Clearances
9	28
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	7
xGOT faced
3.04	1.88
Goals prevented
0.04	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Molgaard T. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽,
41', Vallys N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 2, Nartey N. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 3, Vallys N. ⚽,
59', Nartey N. 🟨,
61', Arnstad K. ↓, Poulsen N. ↑,
66', Nartey N. ↓, Tahirovic B. ↑,
66', Klaiber S. ↓, Vanlerberghe J. ↑,
70', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
70', Bach T. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
74', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
81', Beijmo F. ↓, Dalsgaard H. ↑,
81', Bech T. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Suzuki Y. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
90+3', Rajovic M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

AGF Aarhus
27.5%

Draw
24.9%

Brøndby
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brøndby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brøndby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AGF Aarhus - Brøndby Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.91)	3.79 ↑ (3.59)	1.99 ↓ (2.29)	5.9% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Brøndby?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 50%). Brøndby (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Brøndby will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.
Aarhus has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Brøndby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Brøndby could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Injury) Badji Y. (Injury) Links G. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Aarhus: Kahl E. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Brøndby?

AGF Aarhus has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brøndby won against AGF Aarhus?

Brøndby has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Brøndby were as follows:

07.04.2025 Brøndby - AGF Aarhus 2:1

15.12.2024 Brøndby - AGF Aarhus 4:2

08.12.2024 AGF Aarhus - Brøndby 1:0

21.10.2024 AGF Aarhus - Brøndby 1:0

11.08.2024 Brøndby - AGF Aarhus 0:1

Latest results of AGF Aarhus

16.05.2025 Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 1:3 ✺

04.05.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen 1:3 ✺

21.04.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Brøndby

19.05.2025 Brøndby - Midtjylland 1:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Nordsjælland - Brøndby 2:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Silkeborg IF - Brøndby 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Brøndby - Copenhagen 0:3 ✺

30.04.2025 Brøndby - Silkeborg IF 3:3 ✺

Danish Superliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sonderjyske	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Fredericia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vejle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Silkeborg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Brondby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Odense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Randers FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Viborg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of AGF Aarhus - Brøndby?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	Onefootball