Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 9
- Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/439) | 85% (445/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/439) | 85% (445/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (101/129) | 79% (124/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Bech T. 🟨,
- 20', Kahl E. 🟨,
- 29', Klaiber S. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Arnstad K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Spierings S. 🟨,
- 61', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ambaek J. ↑,
- 67', Yakob K. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
- 67', Spierings S. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
- 67', Bundgaard F. ↓, Younis M. ↑,
- 75', Divkovic M. 🟨,
- 77', Kahl E. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 78', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 78', Arnstad K. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 80', Tahirovic B. ↓, Wass D. ↑,
- 90+4', Mortensen P. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
41.8% | Draw
27.3% | Brøndby
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
AGF Aarhus - Brøndby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.19) |
3.49 ↓
(3.58) |
3.07 ↓
(3.17) |
5.1%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Brøndby?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Brøndby will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.
- Aarhus is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Brøndby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Brøndby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aarhus could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Brøndby: Vallys N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brøndby: Kohlert M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Brøndby?
AGF Aarhus has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brøndby won against AGF Aarhus?
Brøndby has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Brøndby were as follows:
25.05.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
2:3
07.04.2025
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
15.12.2024
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
4:2
08.12.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
21.10.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Brøndby
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Brondby | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Randers FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Viborg | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Vejle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
