Result
3:3
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 12
- Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV2, TV2 Play |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/398) | 88% (549/627) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/398) | 88% (549/627) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (86/122) | 80% (135/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ambaek J. ⚽, Tahirovic B. (A),
- 37', Fukuda S. ↓, Kohlert M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 51', 2 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽, Divkovic M. (A),
- 63', Carstensen R. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 63', Poulsen N. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Arnstad K. ⚽, Bech T. (A),
- 69', 3 - 1, Divkovic M. ⚽, Nartey N. (A),
- 72', Ambaek J. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
- 77', Mortensen P. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
- 77', Solbakken M. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 79', Nartey N. ↓, Spierings S. ↑,
- 79', Klaiber S. ↓, Villadsen O. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Bech T. ⚽, Jorgensen S. (A),
- 89', Kahl E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Links G. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Tchamche S. ⚽, Beijmo F. (A),
Chances of winning
Brøndby
46.4% | Draw
27.9% | AGF Aarhus
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brøndby's performance.AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AGF Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Brøndby - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.34) |
3.6 ↑
(3.47) |
4.05 ↑
(2.88) |
-0.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brøndby - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Brøndby will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Aarhus will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brøndby: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brøndby (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Aarhus (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Brøndby (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Brøndby (votes: 3 - 75%). Aarhus (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brøndby won 3.
- Brøndby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aarhus is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Brøndby: Kohlert M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Tingager F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brøndby won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brøndby won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Brøndby won against AGF Aarhus?
Brøndby has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Brøndby?
AGF Aarhus has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brøndby - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
21.09.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
25.05.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
2:3
07.04.2025
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
15.12.2024
Brøndby
-
AGF Aarhus
4:2
08.12.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Brøndby
1:0
Latest results of Brøndby
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus ✔ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 2 | Midtjylland ✔ | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 58:23 | 35 | 45 |
| 3 | Brondby ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske ✔ | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Viborg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Odense | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36:45 | -9 | 27 |
| 9 | Randers FC ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Fredericia ✔ | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 11 | Silkeborg ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:43 | -20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vejle ✔ | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Midtjylland is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Brondby is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Sonderjyske is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Randers FC is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Silkeborg is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Vejle is Superliga (Relegation Group )
