AGF Aarhus vs Fredericia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish Superliga AGF Aarhus - Fredericia
Result
4:1
31/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Uslu A. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.220.79
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
299
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (549/612)85% (282/332)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.220.79
xG on target (xGOT)
4.340.72
Total shots
299
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
205
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
5116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
90% (549/612)85% (282/332)
Long passes
65% (31/48)48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
84% (173/207)80% (69/86)
Crosses
18% (5/28)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.45
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1211
Tackles
87% (20/23)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4535
Clearances
936
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.724.34
Goals prevented
-0.280.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', Winther F. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Bech T. , Carstensen R. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 0, Mortensen P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Buch O. , Egelund P. ,
  • 58', Dalsgaard H. , Beijmo F. ,
  • 67', Crone S. , Dahl A. ,
  • 67', Winther F. , Madsen W. ,
  • 68', Bech T. , Yakob K. ,
  • 68', Madsen M. , Jorgensen S. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Carstensen R. ,
  • 77', Marcussen G. , Huldahl M. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Mucolli A. , Dahl A. (A),
  • 80', Arnstad K. , Callo L. ,
  • 80', Carstensen R. , Tchamche S. ,
  • 86', 4 - 1, Beijmo F. (Pen),
  • 90', Pyndt A. , Haarbo D. ,

Chances of winning


AGF Aarhus
65.7%
Draw
19.8%
Fredericia
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 20.7% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 20% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • AGF Aarhus - Fredericia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.47)
    4.7
    (4.58)
    6.46
    (6.38)
    6.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Fredericia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Fredericia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Aarhus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aarhus is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Knee Injury) Molgaard T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Aarhus: Badji Y. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Fredericia: Ejeheri O. (Surgery)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Fredericia were as follows:
    01.07.2023 Fredericia - AGF Aarhus 0:2
    01.12.2022 AGF Aarhus - Fredericia 0:1
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    Latest results of Fredericia
    24.08.2025 Fredericia - Randers FC 1:0
    15.08.2025 Fredericia - SønderjyskE 3:2
    10.08.2025 Midtjylland - Fredericia 3:3
    01.08.2025 Fredericia - Copenhagen 0:2
    27.07.2025 Silkeborg IF - Fredericia 0:2
    Danish Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Copenhagen751118:81016
    2Midtjylland743021:111015
    3Aarhus742115:7814
    4Brondby74039:8112
    5Sonderjyske731312:13-110
    6Fredericia731312:14-210
    7Viborg730410:11-19
    8Nordsjaelland730411:14-39
    9Odense722312:18-68
    10Randers FC72147:13-67
    11Silkeborg72059:16-76
    12Vejle71157:10-34

          Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
          Superliga (Relegation Group: )