Result
4:1
31/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 7
- Referee: Uslu A. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (549/612) | 85% (282/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.34 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (549/612) | 85% (282/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (173/207) | 80% (69/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (20/23) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 4.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Winther F. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Bech T. ⚽, Carstensen R. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Mortensen P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Buch O. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
- 58', Dalsgaard H. ↓, Beijmo F. ↑,
- 67', Crone S. ↓, Dahl A. ↑,
- 67', Winther F. ↓, Madsen W. ↑,
- 68', Bech T. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 68', Madsen M. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 0, Carstensen R. ⚽,
- 77', Marcussen G. ↓, Huldahl M. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Mucolli A. ⚽, Dahl A. (A),
- 80', Arnstad K. ↓, Callo L. ↑,
- 80', Carstensen R. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 1, Beijmo F. (Pen),
- 90', Pyndt A. ↓, Haarbo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
65.7% | Draw
19.8% | Fredericia
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
AGF Aarhus - Fredericia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.47) |
4.7 ↑
(4.58) |
6.46 ↑
(6.38) |
6.4%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Fredericia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Fredericia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Aarhus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aarhus is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Badji Y.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Fredericia: Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Fredericia?
AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against AGF Aarhus?
Fredericia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Fredericia were as follows:
01.07.2023
Fredericia
-
AGF Aarhus
0:2
01.12.2022
AGF Aarhus
-
Fredericia
0:1
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Fredericia
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Brondby | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Odense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Randers FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Viborg | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Vejle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
