Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 20
- Referee: Maae J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/347) | 81% (346/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/347) | 81% (346/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/73) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (89/129) | 72% (132/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 21% (9/43) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Johannesen S. ⚽, Simonsen E. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Arnstad K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Arnstad K. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 57', Crone S. 🟨,
- 58', Simonsen E. ↓, Lindekilde J. ↑,
- 58', Johannesen S. ↓, Pyndt A. ↑,
- 64', Kristjansson T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 75', Crone S. ↓, Pedersen K. ↑,
- 76', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 76', Carstensen R. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 78', Winther F. 🟨,
- 86', Jessen J. 🟨,
- 88', Madsen W. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
- 88', Marcussen G. ↓, Hansborg E. ↑,
- 90+1', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fredericia
14.2% | Draw
18.9% | AGF Aarhus
66.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Fredericia - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.64 ↑
(6.39) |
4.99 ↑
(4.75) |
1.4 ↑
(1.4) |
6.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fredericia - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Aarhus (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )
- Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarhus is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Fredericia: Egelund P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Poulsen N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against AGF Aarhus?
Fredericia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Fredericia?
AGF Aarhus has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredericia - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
31.08.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Fredericia
4:1
01.07.2023
Fredericia
-
AGF Aarhus
0:2
01.12.2022
AGF Aarhus
-
Fredericia
0:1
Latest results of Fredericia
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus ✔ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 2 | Midtjylland ✔ | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 58:23 | 35 | 45 |
| 3 | Brondby ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske ✔ | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Viborg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Odense | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36:45 | -9 | 27 |
| 9 | Randers FC ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Fredericia ✔ | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 11 | Silkeborg ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:43 | -20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vejle ✔ | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Midtjylland is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Brondby is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Sonderjyske is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Randers FC is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Silkeborg is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Vejle is Superliga (Relegation Group )
