Nordsjælland vs AGF Aarhus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish Superliga Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus
Result
2:0
16/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superliga - Championship Group - Round 31
  • Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicSporty TV
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.57
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
90% (626/699)83% (319/385)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.300.15
Total shots
217
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
90% (626/699)83% (319/385)
Long passes
56% (20/36)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
80% (192/241)63% (45/71)
Crosses
30% (3/10)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.75
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1212
Tackles
87% (13/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3336
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.151.30
Goals prevented
0.15-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', Arnstad K. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 1 - 0, Nygren B. , Egeli S. W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Poulsen N. , Brandhof F. ,
  • 61', Brink M. 🟨,
  • 65', Nene L. , Wikheim G. ,
  • 65', Tingager F. , Bach T. ,
  • 77', Markmann N. , Lahteenmaki J. ,
  • 77', Beijmo F. , Emmery F. ,
  • 78', Dorgeles M. , Sertdemir Z. ,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Egeli S. W. ,
  • 90', Egeli S. W. , Berthelsen V. ,
  • 90', Yirenkyi C. , Janssen J. ,
  • 90+1', Arnstad K. , Haugstrup O. ,
  • 90+3', Ankersen P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nordsjælland
50.8%
Draw
23.7%
AGF Aarhus
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 24.6% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 24.4% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.02)
    3.98
    (3.85)
    3.72
    (3.3)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH +3 - Nordsjælland (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 5 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 3.
    • Nordsjælland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aarhus has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nordsjælland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nordsjælland: Amoako P. (Injury) Marxen E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Injury) Badji Y. (Inactive) Bech T. (Red Card) Kahl E. (Inactive) Links G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
    30.03.2025 AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland 2:0
    22.11.2024 Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus 1:0
    31.08.2024 AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland 4:2
    03.05.2024 AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland 1:3
    22.04.2024 Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus 7:2
    Latest results of Nordsjælland
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    11.05.2025 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 1:3
    04.05.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    27.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen 1:3
    21.04.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    17.04.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    Danish Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Brondby11003:033
    2FC Copenhagen11003:213
    3Nordsjaelland11003:213
    4Midtjylland10103:301
    5Odense10103:301
    6Sonderjyske10101:101
    7Vejle10101:101
    8Aarhus10101:101
    9Randers FC10101:101
    10Fredericia10012:3-10
    11Viborg10012:3-10
    12Silkeborg10010:3-30

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