Result
1:0
24/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 13
- Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/589) | 83% (336/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/589) | 83% (336/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (205/247) | 65% (51/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Brink M. 🟥,
- 57', Solbakken M. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 59', Norheim R. ↓, Acquah S. ↑,
- 65', Solbakken O. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 71', Poulsen N. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 71', Carstensen R. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 74', Solbakken O. ↓, Heyde M. ↑,
- 84', Mortensen P. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
- 85', Links G. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 87', Janssen J. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Emmery F. ⚽, Bech T. (A),
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
52.5% | Draw
23.9% | Nordsjælland
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Nordsjælland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.92) |
3.95 ↑
(3.9) |
3.96 ↑
(3.5) |
5.1%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Nordsjælland (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Nordsjælland (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Nordsjælland (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AGF Aarhus will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AGF Aarhus will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Nordsjælland (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.
- Aarhus is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nordsjælland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Aarhus is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Marxen E.
(Injury)
Mohammed A.
(Knee Injury)
Yirenkyi C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Tingager F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nordsjælland: Brink M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Nordsjælland?
AGF Aarhus has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against AGF Aarhus?
Nordsjælland has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland were as follows:
28.09.2025
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:2
16.05.2025
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:0
30.03.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
2:0
22.11.2024
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:0
31.08.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
4:2
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus ✔ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 2 | Midtjylland ✔ | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 58:23 | 35 | 45 |
| 3 | Brondby ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske ✔ | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Viborg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Odense | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36:45 | -9 | 27 |
| 9 | Randers FC ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Fredericia ✔ | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 11 | Silkeborg ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:43 | -20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vejle ✔ | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Midtjylland is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Brondby is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Sonderjyske is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Randers FC is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Silkeborg is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Vejle is Superliga (Relegation Group )
