Result
2:0
16/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 0.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
90% (626/699) | 83% (319/385) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 0.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.30 | 0.15 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
90% (626/699) | 83% (319/385) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (20/36) | 39% (12/31) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (192/241) | 63% (45/71) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 50% (4/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.55 | 0.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
87% (13/15) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.15 | 1.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.15 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', Arnstad K. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Nygren B. ⚽, Egeli S. W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Poulsen N. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 61', Brink M. 🟨,
- 65', Nene L. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
- 65', Tingager F. ↓, Bach T. ↑,
- 77', Markmann N. ↓, Lahteenmaki J. ↑,
- 77', Beijmo F. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 78', Dorgeles M. ↓, Sertdemir Z. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Egeli S. W. ⚽,
- 90', Egeli S. W. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
- 90', Yirenkyi C. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
- 90+1', Arnstad K. ↓, Haugstrup O. ↑,
- 90+3', Ankersen P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nordsjælland 50.8% | Draw 23.7% | AGF Aarhus 25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (2.02) |
3.98 ↑ (3.85) |
3.72 ↑ (3.3) |
5.7% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH +3 - Nordsjælland (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nordsjælland will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 3.
- Nordsjælland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aarhus has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nordsjælland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Amoako P.
(Injury)
Marxen E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Injury)
Badji Y.
(Inactive)
Bech T.
(Red Card)
Kahl E.
(Inactive)
Links G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against AGF Aarhus?
Nordsjælland has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Nordsjælland?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
30.03.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
2:0
22.11.2024
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:0
31.08.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
4:2
03.05.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
1:3
22.04.2024
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
7:2
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Brondby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Nordsjaelland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Odense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Sonderjyske | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Randers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Fredericia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Viborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Silkeborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )