Result
2:0
16/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (626/699) | 83% (319/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (626/699) | 83% (319/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 39% (12/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (192/241) | 63% (45/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', Arnstad K. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Nygren B. ⚽, Egeli S. W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Poulsen N. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 61', Brink M. 🟨,
- 65', Nene L. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
- 65', Tingager F. ↓, Bach T. ↑,
- 77', Markmann N. ↓, Lahteenmaki J. ↑,
- 77', Beijmo F. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 78', Dorgeles M. ↓, Sertdemir Z. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Egeli S. W. ⚽,
- 90', Egeli S. W. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
- 90', Yirenkyi C. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
- 90+1', Arnstad K. ↓, Haugstrup O. ↑,
- 90+3', Ankersen P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nordsjælland
50.8% | Draw
23.7% | AGF Aarhus
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.02) |
3.98 ↑
(3.85) |
3.72 ↑
(3.3) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH +3 - Nordsjælland (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nordsjælland will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 3.
- Nordsjælland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aarhus has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nordsjælland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Amoako P.
(Injury)
Marxen E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Injury)
Badji Y.
(Inactive)
Bech T.
(Red Card)
Kahl E.
(Inactive)
Links G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against AGF Aarhus?
Nordsjælland has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Nordsjælland?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
30.03.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
2:0
22.11.2024
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:0
31.08.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
4:2
03.05.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
1:3
22.04.2024
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
7:2
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:11 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Aarhus | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Brondby | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sonderjyske | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Fredericia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Viborg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nordsjaelland | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Odense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Randers FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Vejle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
