Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 18
- Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (390/469) | 86% (407/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (390/469) | 86% (407/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (15/49) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (89/129) | 76% (88/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Bech T. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Bech T. ⚽, Beijmo F. (A),
- 35', Campbell N. 🟨,
- 37', Seck O. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Hoegh D. ⚽, Dammers W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pedersen L. ↓, Romer A. ↑,
- 56', Toure M. ↓,
- 56', Seck O. ↓, Mahmoud E. ↑,
- 64', Poulsen N. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 76', Solbakken M. ↓, Haugstrup O. ↑,
- 76', Kahl E. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
- 76', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 76', Campbell N. ↓, Themsen M. ↑,
- 76', Bjorkengren J. 🟨,
- 85', Greve M. ↓, Lauenborg F. ↑,
- 88', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 90+4', Carstensen R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Randers FC
26.7% | Draw
26.2% | AGF Aarhus
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Randers FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Randers FC - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(3.45) |
3.62 ↑
(3.45) |
2.02 ↑
(2) |
5.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Randers FC - AGF Aarhus?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Aarhus (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AGF Aarhus will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Randers won 3.
- Randers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aarhus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aarhus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Randers: Jones O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Tingager F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Randers: Al Hamawi A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Randers won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Randers won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Randers FC won against AGF Aarhus?
Randers FC has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Randers FC?
AGF Aarhus has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Randers FC - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
25.07.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Randers FC
1:2
11.05.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Randers FC
1:3
17.04.2025
Randers FC
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
28.02.2025
Randers FC
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
28.09.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Randers FC
2:2
Latest results of Randers FC
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus ✔ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 2 | Midtjylland ✔ | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 58:23 | 35 | 45 |
| 3 | Brondby ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske ✔ | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Viborg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Odense | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36:45 | -9 | 27 |
| 9 | Randers FC ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Fredericia ✔ | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 11 | Silkeborg ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:43 | -20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vejle ✔ | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Midtjylland is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Brondby is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Sonderjyske is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )
Randers FC is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Fredericia is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Silkeborg is Superliga (Relegation Group )
Vejle is Superliga (Relegation Group )
