Result
1:2
25/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 2
- Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/516) | 82% (332/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/516) | 82% (332/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (100/136) | 71% (79/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mortensen P. ⚽, Links G. (A),
- 8', Arnstad K. 🟨,
- 45+3', Mortensen P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Hansen S. ↓, Olsen O. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Campbell N. ⚽, Toure M. (A),
- 53', 1 - 2, Mahmoud E. ⚽, Campbell N. (A),
- 60', Bjorkengren J. 🟨,
- 64', Mortensen P. 🟨,
- 68', Campbell N. ↓, Themsen M. ↑,
- 69', Toure M. ↓, Danho F. ↑,
- 69', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 69', Links G. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 79', Kahl E. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 81', Mahmoud E. ↓, Lauenborg F. ↑,
- 87', Poulsen N. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 87', Arnstad K. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 90', Storch J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pedersen L. ↓, Lissens L. ↑,
- 90+1', Danho F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
50.1% | Draw
26.8% | Randers FC
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGF Aarhus's performance.Randers FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGF Aarhus that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
AGF Aarhus - Randers FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.09) |
3.61 ↑
(3.35) |
4.21 ↑
(3.46) |
3.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Randers FC?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Randers will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AGF Aarhus will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 1.
- Aarhus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Randers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Randers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aarhus might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Injury)
Badji Y.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Molgaard T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Randers: Themsen M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Randers FC?
AGF Aarhus has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Randers FC won against AGF Aarhus?
Randers FC has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Randers FC were as follows:
11.05.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Randers FC
1:3
17.04.2025
Randers FC
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
28.02.2025
Randers FC
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
28.09.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Randers FC
2:2
30.10.2023
AGF Aarhus
-
Randers FC
2:1
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Randers FC
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Brondby | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Randers FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Odense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Midtjylland | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Viborg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Vejle | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sonderjyske | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Nordsjaelland | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
