AGMK vs Surkhon Termez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
79
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
511
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
29
Corner kicks
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Abdurazzakov N. , Sobirzhonov A. (A),
  • 29', Sentoku A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Uktamov B. , Abdukhamidov S. ,
  • 63', Abdullazhonov S. , Friday R. ,
  • 63', Sherbutaev K. , Ashuboyev T. ,
  • 71', Shamsiev B. 🟨,
  • 72', Dzhumatov B. , Shukurullaev B. ,
  • 77', Sobirzhonov A. , Senaga N. ,
  • 77', Sentoku A. , Islamov R. ,
  • 77', Kholmurodov A. , Kojic U. ,
  • 80', Shamsiev B. , Mirusmonov M. ,
  • 84', Mirusmonov M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ahrorov S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Chinedu S. ,
  • 90+6', Chinedu S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AGMK
51.5%
Draw
27.7%
Surkhon Termez
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGMK's performance.
  • Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Surkhon Termez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGMK that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surkhon Termez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AGMK - Surkhon Termez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.1)
    3.31
    (3.29)
    4.44
    (3.26)
    8.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AGMK - Surkhon Termez?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. AGMK will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 1.
    • AGMK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Surkhon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • AGMK could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGMK - Surkhon Termez were as follows:
    20.11.2025 Surkhon Termez - AGMK 0:0
    30.06.2025 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    16.09.2024 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    06.04.2024 Surkhon Termez - AGMK 2:1
    29.07.2023 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 2:3
    Latest results of AGMK
    04.04.2026 Pakhtakor - AGMK 3:1
    18.03.2026 Qizilqum - AGMK 0:1
    12.03.2026 AGMK - Sogdiana Jizzakh 2:2
    06.03.2026 Xorazm Urganch - AGMK 1:0
    01.03.2026 AGMK - Bunyodkor 0:1
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona650116:21415
    2Pakhtakor650112:6615
    3Buxoro64119:5413
    4Bunyodkor64117:3413
    5Navbahor Namangan64028:5312
    6Nasaf Qarshi63216:3311
    7Lok. Tashkent62227:708
    8Xorazm Urganch62226:608
    9Termez Surkhon62226:8-28
    10Din. Samarkand62138:10-27
    11Andijan62047:706
    12Kokand 191261326:7-16
    13Qizilqum62044:10-66
    14OKMK61235:8-35
    15Sogdiana60247:16-92
    16Mashal Muborak60061:12-110

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