Barcelona de Ilhéus vs Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

15/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats


Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	4
Corner Kicks
0	15
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	8
Corner Kicks
0	15
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Diki ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Barcelona de Ilhéus
18.1%

Draw
26.3%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

25.9%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↓ (5.5)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	11.2% (10.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Barcelona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
ASA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona de Ilhéus won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?

Barcelona de Ilhéus has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Barcelona de Ilhéus?

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:

24.05.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:0

Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus

08.06.2025 Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Sergipe 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jequié 0:0 ✺

10.05.2025 União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

07.06.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - União Carmolandense 2:2 ✺

31.05.2025 União Carmolandense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:4 ✺