Barcelona de Ilhéus vs Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
015
Total shots
412
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
28
Corner Kicks
015
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Diki ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Barcelona de Ilhéus
18.1%
Draw
26.3%
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 25.9% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 24.7% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (5.5)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    1.62
    (1.57)
    11.2%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Barcelona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ASA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1