Nacional de Patos vs Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Nacional de Patos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Result
3:1
06/08/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Chances of winning


Nacional de Patos
48.4%
Draw
29.3%
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28.1% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Nacional de Patos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.03)
    3.07
    (3.25)
    4.03
    (3.41)
    11.2%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • ASA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Nacional de Patos have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Nacional de Patos is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional de Patos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
    29.07.2023 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Nacional de Patos 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional de Patos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1