Result
1:1
09/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, TV Record, UOL Play, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 4 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (227/307) | 85% (369/434) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 69% (85/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 29% (10/35) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 46% (13/28) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Flaco Lopez ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Willen Mota ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
- 58', Mayke ↓, Estevao ↑,
- 59', Fabinho ↓, Rios R. ↑,
- 68', Wesley Dias 🟨,
- 68', Rios R. 🟨,
- 69', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 70', Flaco Lopez 🟨,
- 70', Moreno A. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 70', Allan ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Silva ↓, Villian Guilherme ↑,
- 71', Davi Gomes 🟨,
- 80', Mike ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
- 84', Mauricio ↓, Rony ↑,
- 86', Willen Mota ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 86', Wesley Dias ↓, Fabio Sanches ↑,
- 90+5', Diogo Batista 🟨,
- 90+7', Ynaia 🟨,
Chances of winning
Água Santa
7.4% | Draw
15.7% | Palmeiras
76.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Água Santa's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Água Santa - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.43 ↑
(7.34) |
5.86 ↑
(4.23) |
1.21 ↓
(1.42) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Água Santa won 1.
- Água Santa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Palmeiras is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Água Santa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Água Santa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Água Santa won against Palmeiras?
Água Santa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Água Santa?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Água Santa - Palmeiras were as follows:
09.04.2023
Palmeiras
-
Água Santa
4:0
02.04.2023
Água Santa
-
Palmeiras
2:1
12.02.2023
Água Santa
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Água Santa
Latest results of Palmeiras
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
