Água Santa vs Taubaté – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 12

Match Stats

Red cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Romarinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', 0 - 2, Romarinho ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Nicholas ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Roger ,
  • 88', 🟥,
  • 90', 2 - 3, Italo ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Água Santa
53.6%
Draw
26.7%
Taubaté
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 28.1% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 26.8% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Água Santa - Taubaté Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.77)
    3.41
    (3.21)
    4.62
    (4.3)
    9.8%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 14).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Taubaté may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Taubaté has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Água Santa is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Água Santa
    18.02.2026 Ituano - Água Santa 0:1
    11.02.2026 Água Santa - Ferroviária 1:0
    07.02.2026 Água Santa - CA Juventus 2:1
    01.02.2026 Santo André - Água Santa 2:1
    Latest results of Taubaté
    18.02.2026 Taubaté - Santo André 1:1
    11.02.2026 Votuporanguense - Taubaté 1:2
    06.02.2026 Taubaté - São José-SP 1:2
    01.02.2026 Taubaté - Ituano 0:1
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3