Result
19/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Aguada
66.4% | Defensor Sporting
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aguada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aguada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aguada - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.38) |
|
2.71 ↓
(2.74) |
9.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 4.
- Aguada is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Defensor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aguada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aguada could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Aguada will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1732:1642. (average 86.6:82.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aguada won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 848:769. (average 84.8:76.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aguada won against Defensor Sporting?
Aguada has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Aguada?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
19.02.2026
Defensor Sporting
-
Aguada
98:92
24.01.2026
Aguada
-
Defensor Sporting
90:76
30.03.2025
Aguada
-
Defensor Sporting
83:75
10.01.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Aguada
85:89
05.11.2024
Aguada
-
Defensor Sporting
96:84
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2101:1777 | 42 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 25 | 15 | 10 | 2103:2072 | 40 |
| 3 | Malvin | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1974:1938 | 38 |
| 4 | Aguada | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2205:2061 | 37 |
| 5 | Defensor | 25 | 12 | 13 | 2152:2134 | 37 |
| 6 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
