Result
97:81
19/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 73 | 64 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 49.32% | 42.19% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 63.64% | 52.78% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 27.59% | 28.57% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 81% | 73.1% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
Chances of winning
Aguada
66.6% | Defensor Sporting
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aguada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aguada - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38
(1.38) |
|
2.74
(2.74) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 4.
- Aguada is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Defensor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aguada will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Aguada will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1732:1642. (average 86.6:82.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aguada won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 848:769. (average 84.8:76.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aguada won against Defensor Sporting?
Aguada has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Aguada?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
19.02.2026
Defensor Sporting
-
Aguada
98:92
24.01.2026
Aguada
-
Defensor Sporting
90:76
30.03.2025
Aguada
-
Defensor Sporting
83:75
10.01.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Aguada
85:89
05.11.2024
Aguada
-
Defensor Sporting
96:84
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 26 | 22 | 4 | 2294:1931 | 46 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2350:2364 | 43 |
| 3 | Malvin | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2264:2281 | 43 |
| 4 | Aguada | 26 | 19 | 7 | 2390:2206 | 41 |
| 5 | Nacional | 26 | 17 | 9 | 2381:2135 | 41 |
| 6 | Defensor | 28 | 13 | 15 | 2385:2391 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
