Defensor Sporting vs Aguada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
98:92
19/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6867
Field goals made
3534
Field goals %
51.47%50.75%
2-point field goals attempts
3937
2-point field goals made
2422
2-point field goals %
61.54%59.46%
3-point field goals attempts
2930
3-point field goals made
1112
3-point field goals %
37.93%40%
Free throws attempts
2318
Free throws made
1712
Free throws %
73.9%66.7%
Offensive rebounds
169
Defensive rebounds
2620
Total rebounds
4229
Assists
1916
Blocks
03
Turnovers
1311
Steals
98
Personal fouls
2019

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
62.2%
Aguada
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.
  • Aguada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aguada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensor Sporting that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aguada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensor Sporting - Aguada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.91)

    2.44
    (1.75)
    8.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Aguada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aguada has had a series of home games.
    • Defensor could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1615:1716. (average 80.8:85.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 846:868. (average 84.6:86.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Aguada were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 90:76
    30.03.2025 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 83:75
    10.01.2025 Defensor Sporting - Aguada 85:89
    05.11.2024 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 96:84
    23.04.2024 Defensor Sporting - Aguada 91:85
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Aguada
    16.02.2026 Aguada - Hebraica y Macabi 85:80
    13.02.2026 Aguada - Unión Atlética 90:76
    10.02.2026 Aguada - Goes 70:64
    05.02.2026 Aguada - Boca Juniors 54:101
    04.02.2026 Minas - Aguada 94:62
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol221931933:161139
    2Hebraica y Macabi221481860:179836
    3Malvin221481799:177934
    4Nacional221482031:182834
    5Defensor2212101902:187134
    6Aguada221572022:190433
    7Union Atletica2211111826:181533
    8Bigua2211111944:195433
    9Urunday229131956:189931
    10Goes226161797:196028
    11Welcome224181776:209426
    12Cordon223191771:210423

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