Defensor Sporting vs Aguada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/04/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6663
Field goals made
3322
Field goals %
50%34.92%
2-point field goals attempts
3535
2-point field goals made
2717
2-point field goals %
77.14%48.57%
3-point field goals attempts
3128
3-point field goals made
65
3-point field goals %
19.35%17.86%
Free throws attempts
2113
Free throws made
1611
Free throws %
76.2%84.6%
Offensive rebounds
107
Defensive rebounds
3326
Total rebounds
4333
Assists
2415
Blocks
40
Turnovers
1115
Steals
78
Personal fouls
1818

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
40.1%
Aguada
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Aguada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Aguada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.6)

    1.55
    (1.44)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Aguada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1637:1755. (average 81.9:87.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 873:884. (average 87.3:88.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Aguada were as follows:
    19.03.2026 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 97:81
    19.02.2026 Defensor Sporting - Aguada 98:92
    24.01.2026 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 90:76
    30.03.2025 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 83:75
    10.01.2025 Defensor Sporting - Aguada 85:89
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Aguada
    25.04.2026 Aguada - Nacional 101:82
    17.04.2026 Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada 103:95
    14.04.2026 Aguada - Hebraica y Macabi 101:100
    11.04.2026 Nacional - Aguada 101:82
    26.03.2026 Aguada - Malvín 88:64
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Winners stage
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol312562732:234651
    2Nacional3020102740:246648
    3Aguada3120112823:269647
    4Malvin3118132485:254047
    5Defensor3115162644:261546
    6Hebraica y Macabi3016142534:253946

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