Nacional vs Aguada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Uruguayan Liga Basketball Nacional - Aguada
Result
79:77
01/06/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6769
Field Goals Made
3026
Field Goals %
44.8%37.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3937
2-Point Field Goals Made
2016
2-Point Field Goals %
51.3%43.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2832
3-Point Field Goals Made
1010
3-Point Field Goals %
35.7%31.3%
Free Throws Attempted
1622
Free Throws Made
915
Free Throws %
56.3%68.2%
Offensive Rebounds
1616
Defensive Rebounds
2924
Total Rebounds
4540
Assists
138
Blocks
43
Turnovers
118
Steals
36
Personal Fouls
2420

Chances of winning


Nacional
48.2%
Aguada
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional's form might have worsened.
  • Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aguada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aguada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional - Aguada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.71)

    1.79
    (2)
    8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Nacional - Aguada?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Aguada will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 3-3. 7th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1735:1790. (average 86.8:89.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 796:757. (average 88.4:84.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Aguada were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 96:97
    27.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 103:98
    25.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 80:72
    22.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 73:82
    19.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 84:75
    Latest results of Nacional
    30.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 96:97
    27.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 103:98
    25.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 80:72
    22.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 73:82
    19.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 84:75
    Latest results of Aguada
    30.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 96:97
    27.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 103:98
    25.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 80:72
    22.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 73:82
    19.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 84:75
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1NacionalBye
    2Hebraica y MacabiRemeros Mercedes2 : 1
    3PenarolBye
    4ByeDefensor
    5AguadaBye
    6BiguaFerro Carril2 : 0
    7MalvinBye
    8ByeCordon

    Quarter-finals
    1NacionalHebraica y Macabi3 : 0
    2PenarolDefensor2 : 3
    3AguadaBigua3 : 0
    4MalvinCordon3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1NacionalDefensor3 : 1
    2AguadaMalvin3 : 2

    Final
    1NacionalAguada4 : 3