Result
98:94
20/12/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 57 | 68 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 47.37% | 45.59% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 54.55% | 55% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 37.5% | 32.14% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 92.1% | 79.3% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aguada's performance.Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aguada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aguada - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.3) |
|
1.84 ↑
(1.49) |
9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Aguada - Nacional?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aguada will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:87.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 1.
- Recent performances by Aguada have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1775:1760. (average 88.8:88).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aguada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 862:803. (average 95.8:89.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aguada won against Nacional?
Aguada has won 11 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Aguada?
Nacional has won 10 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Nacional were as follows:
20.10.2025
Nacional
-
Aguada
82:79
01.06.2025
Nacional
-
Aguada
79:77
30.05.2025
Aguada
-
Nacional
96:97
27.05.2025
Nacional
-
Aguada
103:98
25.05.2025
Aguada
-
Nacional
80:72
Latest results of Nacional
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 22 | 19 | 3 | 1933:1611 | 39 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1860:1798 | 36 |
| 3 | Malvin | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1799:1779 | 34 |
| 4 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
| 5 | Defensor | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1902:1871 | 34 |
| 6 | Aguada | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2022:1904 | 33 |
| 7 | Union Atletica | 22 | 11 | 11 | 1826:1815 | 33 |
| 8 | Bigua | 22 | 11 | 11 | 1944:1954 | 33 |
| 9 | Urunday | 22 | 9 | 13 | 1956:1899 | 31 |
| 10 | Goes | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1797:1960 | 28 |
| 11 | Welcome | 22 | 4 | 18 | 1776:2094 | 26 |
| 12 | Cordon | 22 | 3 | 19 | 1771:2104 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Winners stage: )
Liga Uruguaya (Losers stage: )
