Aguada vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
98:94
20/12/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5768
Field Goals Made
2731
Field Goals %
47.37%45.59%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3340
2-Point Field Goals Made
1822
2-Point Field Goals %
54.55%55%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2428
3-Point Field Goals Made
99
3-Point Field Goals %
37.5%32.14%
Free Throws Attempted
3829
Free Throws Made
3523
Free Throws %
92.1%79.3%
Offensive Rebounds
711
Defensive Rebounds
3124
Total Rebounds
3835
Assists
1618
Blocks
31
Turnovers
1711
Steals
49
Personal Fouls
2427

Chances of winning


Aguada
50%
Nacional
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 59%

Aguada - Nacional Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(2.3)

1.84
(1.49)
9%
(10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Aguada - Nacional?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aguada (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 1.
    • Recent performances by Aguada have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1775:1760. (average 88.8:88).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aguada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 862:803. (average 95.8:89.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Nacional were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Nacional - Aguada 82:79
    01.06.2025 Nacional - Aguada 79:77
    30.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 96:97
    27.05.2025 Nacional - Aguada 103:98
    25.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 80:72
    Latest results of Aguada
    16.12.2025 Urunday Universitario - Aguada 99:104
    12.12.2025 Aguada - Minas 74:77
    10.12.2025 Aguada - Boca Juniors 71:88
    19.11.2025 Goes - Aguada 76:93
    13.11.2025 Hebraica y Macabi - Aguada 79:78
    Latest results of Nacional
    15.12.2025 Nacional - Obras Sanitarias 75:71
    13.12.2025 Nacional - Flamengo 75:63
    03.12.2025 Cordón - Nacional 90:109
    20.11.2025 Nacional - Unión Atlética 88:72
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol161421369:113028
    2Hebraica y Macabi161061327:127826
    3Nacional151141400:125524
    4Malvin151051231:121523
    5Bigua15871328:134723
    6Defensor14861231:119922
    7Urunday15781371:128522
    8Union Atletica15691238:125721
    9Aguada14951321:125819
    10Goes154111256:138419
    11Welcome151141225:150316
    12Cordon152131220:140615

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