Result
82:84
22/04/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 61 | 73 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 42.62% | 36.99% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 43.75% | 44.44% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 41.38% | 29.73% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 75% | 70.4% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 36 | 50 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
Chances of winning
Nacional
58.8% | Peñarol de Montevideo
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.84) |
|
2.22 ↑
(1.9) |
9.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
- Nacional has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Peñarol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1061:1106. (average 75.8:79).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 557:564. (average 79.6:80.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Nacional has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Nacional?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
08.04.2026
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional
71:78
08.12.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional
82:69
13.10.2025
Nacional
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
62:87
10.03.2025
Nacional
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
90:72
18.01.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional
85:89
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 30 | 24 | 6 | 2636:2278 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional | 30 | 20 | 10 | 2740:2466 | 48 |
| 3 | Aguada | 30 | 20 | 10 | 2763:2608 | 46 |
| 4 | Hebraica y Macabi | 30 | 16 | 14 | 2534:2539 | 46 |
| 5 | Malvin | 30 | 18 | 12 | 2417:2444 | 46 |
| 6 | Defensor | 30 | 14 | 16 | 2556:2555 | 44 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
