Result
86:80
09/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 63 | 72 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 50.79% | 43.06% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 53.85% | 59.09% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 45.83% | 17.86% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 84.6% | 68.4% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 38 | 47 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
Chances of winning
Aguada
44.9% | Peñarol de Montevideo
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.27) |
|
1.67 ↑
(1.54) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 3.
- Aguada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Aguada has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1588:1630. (average 79.4:81.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aguada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 652:623. (average 81.5:77.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aguada won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Aguada has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Aguada?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
27.01.2026
Aguada
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
91:80
07.11.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Aguada
103:89
14.01.2025
Aguada
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
77:69
28.10.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Aguada
86:77
17.06.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Aguada
71:88
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2101:1777 | 42 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 25 | 15 | 10 | 2103:2072 | 40 |
| 3 | Malvin | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1974:1938 | 38 |
| 4 | Aguada | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2205:2061 | 37 |
| 5 | Defensor | 25 | 12 | 13 | 2152:2134 | 37 |
| 6 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
