Result
91:80
27/01/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 60 | 66 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 51.67% | 42.42% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 56.76% | 41.46% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 43.48% | 44% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 82.6% | 61.9% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Aguada
49.5% | Peñarol de Montevideo
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.05) |
|
1.82 ↑
(1.67) |
9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
Aguada will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aguada will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:86.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 3.
- Aguada is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aguada won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1583:1641. (average 79.2:82.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aguada won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 647:634. (average 80.9:79.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aguada won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Aguada has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Aguada?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
07.11.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Aguada
103:89
14.01.2025
Aguada
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
77:69
28.10.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Aguada
86:77
17.06.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Aguada
71:88
14.06.2024
Aguada
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
88:74
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 22 | 19 | 3 | 1933:1611 | 39 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1860:1798 | 36 |
| 3 | Malvin | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1799:1779 | 34 |
| 4 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
| 5 | Defensor | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1902:1871 | 34 |
| 6 | Aguada | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2022:1904 | 33 |
| 7 | Union Atletica | 22 | 11 | 11 | 1826:1815 | 33 |
| 8 | Bigua | 22 | 11 | 11 | 1944:1954 | 33 |
| 9 | Urunday | 22 | 9 | 13 | 1956:1899 | 31 |
| 10 | Goes | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1797:1960 | 28 |
| 11 | Welcome | 22 | 4 | 18 | 1776:2094 | 26 |
| 12 | Cordon | 22 | 3 | 19 | 1771:2104 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Winners stage: )
Liga Uruguaya (Losers stage: )
