Peñarol de Montevideo vs Aguada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Uruguayan Liga Basketball Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada
17/03/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6959
Field Goals Made
3130
Field Goals %
44.9%50.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3834
2-Point Field Goals Made
2516
2-Point Field Goals %
65.8%47.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3125
3-Point Field Goals Made
614
3-Point Field Goals %
19.4%56%
Free Throws Attempted
1621
Free Throws Made
1214
Free Throws %
75%66.7%
Offensive Rebounds
185
Defensive Rebounds
2826
Total Rebounds
4631
Assists
1614
Blocks
43
Turnovers
1613
Steals
75
Personal Fouls
2418

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
49.3%
Aguada
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.
  • Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aguada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aguada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.6)

    1.82
    (2.14)
    8.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 166.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Peñarol will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1635:1553 (average 81.8:77.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1001:906 (average 83.4:75.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo 77:69
    28.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada 86:77
    17.06.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada 71:88
    14.06.2024 Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo 88:74
    10.06.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada 95:78
    Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
    Latest results of Aguada
    13.03.2025 Aguada - Nacional 99:81
    11.03.2025 Aguada - Malvín 85:90
    04.03.2025 Aguada - Welcome 101:72
    27.02.2025 Trouville Montevideo - Aguada 75:77
    13.02.2025 Nacional - Aguada 91:94
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1NacionalBye
    2Hebraica y MacabiRemeros Mercedes2 : 1
    3PenarolBye
    4ByeDefensor
    5AguadaBye
    6BiguaFerro Carril2 : 0
    7MalvinBye
    8ByeCordon

    Quarter-finals
    1NacionalHebraica y Macabi3 : 0
    2PenarolDefensor2 : 3
    3AguadaBigua3 : 0
    4MalvinCordon3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1NacionalDefensor3 : 1
    2AguadaMalvin3 : 2

    Final
    1NacionalAguada4 : 3