AIK vs Elfsborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan AIK - Elfsborg
Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 6
  • Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDiscovery+
finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.64
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
80% (302/378)83% (462/557)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.53
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
80% (302/378)83% (462/557)
Long passes
38% (18/47)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
67% (89/133)79% (119/150)
Crosses
33% (3/9)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.54
Throw-ins
1732
Fouls
1711
Tackles
78% (14/18)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
3813
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.531.87
Goals prevented
0.53-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Hove J. , Guidetti J. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Guidetti J. , Celina B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Rapp G. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 68', Guidetti J. , Fesshaie A. ,
  • 78', Hult N. , Kaib R. ,
  • 78', Ihler F. , Frick P. ,
  • 78', Hove J. , Andersson V. ,
  • 80', Fesshaie A. 🟨,
  • 83', Pettersson I. , Hagg L. ,
  • 85', Andersson V. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Celina B. , Karlsson K. ,

Chances of winning


AIK
42.2%
Draw
29.4%
Elfsborg
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 27% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 27.3% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AIK - Elfsborg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.49)
    3.21
    (3.5)
    3.36
    (2.69)
    5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for AIK - Elfsborg?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches AIK won 1.
    • AIK in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Elfsborg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in AIK: Al Saed D. (Knee Injury) Ali A. (Inactive) Ayari T. (Knee Injury) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Hofvander W. (Leg Injury) Redkin A. (Inactive) Tiedemann B. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Thomasen J. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches AIK won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:28 (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams AIK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - Elfsborg were as follows:
    27.10.2024 AIK - Elfsborg 2:1
    15.05.2024 Elfsborg - AIK 6:1
    23.10.2023 Elfsborg - AIK 3:0
    11.06.2023 AIK - Elfsborg 1:2
    06.11.2022 AIK - Elfsborg 0:1
    Latest results of AIK
    24.04.2025 Värnamo - AIK 1:2
    20.04.2025 Öster - AIK 0:1
    14.04.2025 AIK - Malmö 0:0
    06.04.2025 AIK - Norrköping 4:3
    31.03.2025 GAIS - AIK 0:1
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    23.04.2025 Elfsborg - Sirius 4:3
    19.04.2025 Degerfors - Elfsborg 0:1
    12.04.2025 Elfsborg - Norrköping 2:0
    07.04.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 2:1
    30.03.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby24176144:172757
    2Hammarby24154549:242549
    3AIK24127531:23843
    4GAIS24118535:231241
    5Goteborg24132933:29441
    6Malmo FF24109536:211539
    7Djurgarden24108632:23938
    8Elfsborg251141040:38237
    9Brommapojkarna24921337:37029
    10Hacken25851235:44-929
    11Norrkoping25851237:47-1029
    12Sirius24751236:39-326
    13Halmstad24741320:44-2425
    14Oster24571222:35-1322
    15Degerfors25641526:47-2122
    16Varnamo24261627:49-2212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan