AIK vs Elfsborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Strawberry Arena (Solna).

Allsvenskan - Round 6
Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.64
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
80% (302/378)	83% (462/557)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.87	0.53
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
19	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
11	17
Passes
80% (302/378)	83% (462/557)
Long passes
38% (18/47)	40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
67% (89/133)	79% (119/150)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.54
Throw-ins
17	32
Fouls
17	11
Tackles
78% (14/18)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
49	51
Clearances
38	13
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.53	1.87
Goals prevented
0.53	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hove J. ⚽, Guidetti J. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Guidetti J. ⚽, Celina B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Rapp G. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
68', Guidetti J. ↓, Fesshaie A. ↑,
78', Hult N. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
78', Ihler F. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
78', Hove J. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
80', Fesshaie A. 🟨,
83', Pettersson I. ↓, Hagg L. ↑,
85', Andersson V. 🟨,
90+4', Celina B. ↓, Karlsson K. ↑,

Chances of winning

AIK
42.2%

Draw
29.4%

Elfsborg
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AIK - Elfsborg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.49)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.36 ↑ (2.69)	5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for AIK - Elfsborg?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 19.1% – 73.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches AIK won 1.
AIK in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Elfsborg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in AIK: Al Saed D. (Knee Injury) Ali A. (Inactive) Ayari T. (Knee Injury) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Hofvander W. (Leg Injury) Redkin A. (Inactive) Tiedemann B. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Elfsborg: Thomasen J. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches AIK won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:28 (average 1.7:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams AIK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Elfsborg?

AIK has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against AIK?

Elfsborg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - Elfsborg were as follows:

27.10.2024 AIK - Elfsborg 2:1

15.05.2024 Elfsborg - AIK 6:1

23.10.2023 Elfsborg - AIK 3:0

11.06.2023 AIK - Elfsborg 1:2

06.11.2022 AIK - Elfsborg 0:1

Latest results of AIK

24.04.2025 Värnamo - AIK 1:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Öster - AIK 0:1 ✺

14.04.2025 AIK - Malmö 0:0 ✺

06.04.2025 AIK - Norrköping 4:3 ✺

31.03.2025 GAIS - AIK 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Elfsborg

23.04.2025 Elfsborg - Sirius 4:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Degerfors - Elfsborg 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Elfsborg - Norrköping 2:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 2:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:2 ✺

Swedish Allsvenskan Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mjallby	22	16	5	1	42:16	26	53
2	Hammarby	22	14	3	5	42:21	21	45
3	AIK	22	11	7	4	28:19	9	40
4	Malmo FF	22	10	8	4	34:18	16	38
5	GAIS	22	10	8	4	33:20	13	38
6	Goteborg	22	12	2	8	31:27	4	38
7	Elfsborg	22	11	3	8	37:32	5	36
8	Djurgarden	22	9	7	6	28:20	8	34
9	Brommapojkarna	22	8	2	12	35:35	0	26
10	Hacken	22	7	5	10	32:38	-6	26
11	Norrkoping	22	7	4	11	33:43	-10	25
12	Sirius	22	6	5	11	32:36	-4	23
13	Halmstad	22	6	3	13	17:42	-25	21
14	Oster	22	4	6	12	17:31	-14	18
15	Degerfors	22	4	4	14	21:44	-23	16
16	Varnamo	22	2	6	14	23:43	-20	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Allsvenskan (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Superettan