Result
1:1
06/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 0, Bogere I. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 1, Living K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
UPDF
22.5% | Draw
30.2% | Kitara
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Kitara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UPDF - Kitara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↓
(4.53) |
2.99 ↓
(3.22) |
1.91 ↑
(1.73) |
10.7%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0.
- UPDF is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kitara is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Kitara is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Kitara?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kitara won against UPDF?
Kitara has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Kitara were as follows:
07.01.2026
Kitara
-
UPDF
2:1
13.02.2025
UPDF
-
Kitara
0:0
22.11.2024
Kitara
-
UPDF
4:0
03.02.2024
UPDF
-
Kitara
0:3
22.09.2023
Kitara
-
UPDF
1:0
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 50 |
| 2 | Kitara | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 34:17 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31:11 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Police | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 8 | BUL | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | Express | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | URA SC | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 18 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 16 |
| 14 | Buhimba | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:44 | -29 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Calvary | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7:36 | -29 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
