Result
2:1
07/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uganda | Sanyuka TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Kalema J. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Asiki C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 82', 2 - 1, Ssekamatte S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kitara
65.3% | Draw
21.8% | UPDF
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Kitara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Kitara - UPDF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.39) |
4.13 ↑
(4) |
6.95 ↓
(7.6) |
11.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kitara - UPDF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 3.
- Kitara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, UPDF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kitara is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Kitara will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kitara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kitara won against UPDF?
Kitara has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Kitara?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kitara - UPDF were as follows:
13.02.2025
UPDF
-
Kitara
0:0
22.11.2024
Kitara
-
UPDF
4:0
03.02.2024
UPDF
-
Kitara
0:3
22.09.2023
Kitara
-
UPDF
1:0
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
