Metz vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Moja TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Eurosport 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainbeIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 1 MAX
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.83
Ball Possession
76%24%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
103
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1216
Offsides
14
Fouls
1612
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
2116
Touches in the Opposition Box
333
Passes
94% (607/647)67% (139/209)
Passes in the final third
87% (178/205)55% (36/66)
Crosses
33% (11/33)50% (3/6)
Tackles
89% (8/9)85% (17/20)
Clearances Total
1029
Interceptions
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Hein G. 🟨,
  • 36', Stambouli B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Huard M. , Ayessa J. ,
  • 58', Youssouf M. 🟨,
  • 65', Kante A. , Santelli B. ,
  • 70', Soumano M. , Toure B. ,
  • 72', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 73', Diallo P. A. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 73', Deminguet J. , Jallow A. ,
  • 80', Sabaly C. , Asoro J. ,
  • 84', Bokele Mputu M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Toure B. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
66.4%
Draw
21.8%
Ajaccio
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 23.9% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 23.1% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.
  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Metz - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.51)
    4.26
    (3.87)
    7.95
    (6.27)
    7.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
  • What is the prediction for Metz - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Metz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajaccio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Metz is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Quemper S. (Injury) Silva R. (Injury) Sollacaro F. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Metz to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Ajaccio were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Ajaccio - Metz 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    15.02.2025 Guingamp - Metz 0:3
    08.02.2025 Metz - Clermont 3:1
    31.01.2025 Bastia - Metz 1:1
    24.01.2025 Metz - Grenoble 3:0
    18.01.2025 Metz - Paris FC 3:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0
    08.02.2025 Ajaccio - Guingamp 0:3
    31.01.2025 Clermont - Ajaccio 0:1
    24.01.2025 Rodez - Ajaccio 1:2
    17.01.2025 Ajaccio - Caen 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National