Metz vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Moja TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Eurosport 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainbeIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 1 MAX
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.83
Ball Possession
76%24%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
103
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1216
Offsides
14
Fouls
1612
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
2116
Touches in the Opposition Box
333
Passes
94% (607/647)67% (139/209)
Passes in the final third
87% (178/205)55% (36/66)
Crosses
33% (11/33)50% (3/6)
Tackles
89% (8/9)85% (17/20)
Clearances Total
1029
Interceptions
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Hein G. 🟨,
  • 36', Stambouli B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Huard M. , Ayessa J. ,
  • 58', Youssouf M. 🟨,
  • 65', Kante A. , Santelli B. ,
  • 70', Soumano M. , Toure B. ,
  • 72', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 73', Diallo P. A. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 73', Deminguet J. , Jallow A. ,
  • 80', Sabaly C. , Asoro J. ,
  • 84', Bokele Mputu M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Toure B. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
66.4%
Draw
21.8%
Ajaccio
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 23.9% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 23.1% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.
  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Metz - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.51)
    4.26
    (3.87)
    7.95
    (6.27)
    7.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
  • What is the prediction for Metz - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: Metz will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Metz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajaccio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Metz is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Quemper S. (Injury) Silva R. (Injury) Sollacaro F. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Metz to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Ajaccio were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Ajaccio - Metz 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    15.02.2025 Guingamp - Metz 0:3
    08.02.2025 Metz - Clermont 3:1
    31.01.2025 Bastia - Metz 1:1
    24.01.2025 Metz - Grenoble 3:0
    18.01.2025 Metz - Paris FC 3:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0
    08.02.2025 Ajaccio - Guingamp 0:3
    31.01.2025 Clermont - Ajaccio 0:1
    24.01.2025 Rodez - Ajaccio 1:2
    17.01.2025 Ajaccio - Caen 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes28176549:282157
    2St Etienne28165750:292153
    3Le Mans281311441:291250
    4Red Star28138732:27547
    5Reims281210641:261546
    6Rodez281111635:33244
    7Montpellier281261033:25842
    8Dunkerque28109943:34939
    9Annecy281161135:34139
    10Guingamp28109938:40-239
    11Pau FC28109940:44-439
    12Boulogne28971230:38-834
    13Grenoble286121026:33-730
    14Clermont28771430:37-728
    15Nancy28771424:40-1628
    16Amiens28651733:50-1723
    17Laval284111324:41-1723
    18Bastia283111415:31-1620

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National